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2023 NBA Draft Profile: Kris Murray

Kris Murray exceeded all expectations a year after his brother did the same for Iowa. Should the Sacramento Kings be willing to double-up on the Murray twins?
By | 49 Comments | May 25, 2023

Iowa forward Kris Murray (24) makes a 3-point basket as Northwestern forward Robbie Beran (31) defends during a NCAA Big Ten Conference men's basketball game, Tuesday, Jan. 31, 2023, at Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City, Iowa. 230131 N Western Iowa Mbb 032 Jpg

NBA Position: Forward

General Info: 22-year-old Junior, played at Iowa. From Cedar Rapids, Iowa.

Measurables: 6’9, 213 lbs, 6’11.75 wingspan.

2022-23 Season Statistics: 20.2 PPG, 7.9 RPG, 2.0 APG, 1.0 SPG, 1.2 BPG, 1.5 TPG (29 games played, 34.9 minutes a contest), 47.6% FG, 33.5% 3P, 72.9% FT

All hyperlinks in this profile are video clips showcasing the skills discussed. Stats are from Synergy Sports or Basketball Reference.

Deja vu, Kings fans? Iowa star Kris Murray exceeded all expectations a year after his brother and current King Keegan did the same for the Hawkeyes. Kris led Iowa in points, rebounds, blocks, shot attempts, and three pointers per game in their journey to an NCAA tournament bid. He’s also captured the hearts of the Sacramento faithful, just like his brother did a year ago. Watching his tape from this past season, Kris very clearly could have been playing in the NBA instead of back in Iowa, and there’s probably some NBA teams kicking themselves right now that they didn’t convince him to stay in last year’s draft. Given a similar role to what Keegan had this year may pay off wonders for Kris and his future NBA team. But should the Kings be willing to double-up on the Murray twins, if Kris slides to #24?

Kris offers much of the same skill, physical, and instinctual versatility on both ends of the court as Keegan. To varying degrees of success, he can be a floor spacer off the catch, attack the basket off the dribble, bang with bigger players for rebounds, and guard in the post and on the perimeter. He may not be the same level of athlete or quite as fluid as his twin, and he needs to prove his deep shot in order to excel at the next level. But you don’t see many collegiate players serve as their team’s leading scorer (20.2 points per game) and shot-taker (15.7 FGA per game) and average just 1.5 turnovers per game. He’s a composed basketball player who can do a lot of things well without making a ton of mistakes.

Kris spent a lot of time as a spot-up deep shooter in Iowa’s offense; a whopping 27.6% of his shots were on spot-up jumpers, and he shot 37% on said shots. His efficiency from deep will be a real question moving forward. He shot 38.7% from three as a role player in his sophomore year, but shot just 33.5% from three this year on 197 attempts. That said, defenses were locked onto him with consistency that I’m not even sure his brother saw in his Iowa stardom year. A whopping 89% of his catch-and-shoot shots this season were considered guarded by Synergy; he shot 30.3% on guarded C&S shots, and 41% on unguarded shots. Surprise surprise, a player shot better when he’s not guarded—but if put into a similar role like Keegan was this year, as a 4th-5th option waiting for the creators to pass him the ball in the corners, Kris could be an efficient shooter again.

Where Keegan spent much more of his Iowa offense in post-up plays (16% of his shots), Kris was less reliant on banging in the post (11.6%). This doesn’t mean much, since I don’t think his future team (like the Kings with Keegan this year) will ask him to spend his time trying to post up NBA bigs or hunt mismatches. That said, Kris does have a strong touch when he gets to the basket. His handling needs work, and his first step may be too slow to truly utilize his driving game at the next level. But he finished at a 66.1% clip at the basket in non-post-up possessions this season, per Synergy. He’s very left-hand and left-side drive dominant, but he knows how to use his length, pace, physicality, and patience to his advantage. He’ll be a threat off the cut immediately in the NBA.

I hate making the repeated comparisons between the twins (rich, considering I’ve done so a dozen times already) but the biggest swing skill I note for Kris was the same as I had/still have for Keegan. If Kris can improve his handling and quickness off the bounce and become a dangerous pull-up shooter in the NBA, that’s a gamechanger. But he only took 41 dribble jumpers this season, and shot 31% on them, 45th percentile in the nation per Synergy. Many of the dribble jumpers I saw came from plays where he couldn’t get past defenders for a drive and settled, rather than because he trusted the shot.

As with any young player, Kris is still figuring his defensive range and limitations. His willingness and physicality is never a question, and that’s always a huge plus for smart players. He used his length, strength, and patience to good effect against a range of players last season, holding all opponents to a combined 33.8% shooting (71st percentile) per Synergy. He also averaged 1 steal and 1.2 blocks per game, strong numbers for a player carrying a near 30% offensive usage rate. He can help as an occasional weak-side rim protector. Smaller, quicker opponents will likely best him in the NBA, but he held his own in many one-on-one possessions at Iowa and had some highlight on-ball blocks against guards who tried to switch onto him. Much like his twin, I don’t expect Kris to be a game changer defensively at the next level, but his composure and willingness on that end of the court will offer his future head coach defensive options at the next level.

Kris is also a capable rebounder, snagging 7.9 a contest and leading Iowa in rebounds per game. He and fellow 6’9 forwards Filip Rebraca and Patrick McCaffery were the biggest players in Iowa’s rotation, which led to Kris and the Hawkeyes struggling on the glass against some of the Big Ten’s biggest teams. The Kings need more on the glass than Kris can provide, but that will be true regardless of who Sacramento selects. If Mike Brown could light the same fire under Kris that he did for Keegan, I expect Murray can be another solid rebounder on a team that needs to improve in that area across the board(s).

Like his brother before him, a lot will be made about Kris’ age (he will turn 23 in August) and if that means younger players around him in the draft will have higher upsides. I harped on this much too excessively last summer, when I preferred the younger, bouncier Jaden Ivey’s nebulous upside to Keegan. This year, there will be younger players drafted near Kris—Noah Clowney, Max Lewis, Dariq Whitehead, Sidy Cissoko, on and on—who may or may not end up being better players when they turn 23 than Kris is right now. But if Keegan has taught us anything, it’s to remember that players don’t stop developing at any age, especially in the right organizations. Keegan has many areas of needed improvement, but as Greg said last month, there was nothing about Keegan’s rookie year to suggest he won’t improve in those areas. The same goes for Kris, who could absolutely improve his handling ability, get better at sliding with smaller opponents on defense, and prove his deep shot is efficient when he’s not the #1 option.

Sad side note here: I regret to inform you that the Los Angeles Lakers have pick #17, and the Golden State Warriors have pick #19. I have no doubt in my mind that one of those teams will be selecting Kris and turning Kings fans’ dreams of reuniting the brothers into a rivalry nightmare. Prepare yourselves accordingly. And even if he is there at 24, he may not be the highest prospect on the Kings board (or on mine), and McNair has shown he is willing to be ruthless with our heartstrings if it means advancing towards his ideal roster. But if Kris does end up a King, here’s a direct clip of how he and Keegan would both react.

Getting a 6’9 combo forward who can shoot, defend, dribble, drive, and rebound at solid-to-good rates is an easy sell in the modern NBA. Kris doesn’t solve every Kings problem, but neither will anyone drafted at pick #24. In this armchair scout’s opinion, every NBA team should want as many multi-dimensional forwards as their roster can hold. Kris’ versatility on both ends will be a boon to any team, the Sacramento Kings very much included.

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HumboldtCPA
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May 25, 2023 8:09 am

I’d love to get Kris on our roster mainly cause I really like Keegan. If it happens, great! If not, not the end of the world. I would think Keegan would be happy to have his brother on the team as well. Would be a nice perk. We shall see. GO KINGS!

Hobby916
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May 25, 2023 3:16 pm
Reply to  HumboldtCPA

Brotherly rivalry would be fun!

Hippity_Hop_Barbershop
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May 25, 2023 8:52 am

DOUBLEVISION

andy_sims
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May 25, 2023 9:18 am

The bottom line is that unless there’s real indication that Kris will show strengths in areas where Keegan doesn’t, such as rebounding and rim protection, Kris is, in the most literal sense of the word, redundant on the roster.

Keegan will improve in those area, and he’s shown flashes. Kris needs to improve simply to be as good as Keegan was when he was drafted.

It would be a lot of fun having them both on the roster, but the team just has too many needs to go for an (admittedly phenomenal) sight gag.

andy_sims
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May 25, 2023 11:06 am
Reply to  Bryant

Skill redundancy is certainly not a problem. If there was a guard available who could move and score like Fox does, you grab him.

Kris is less-athletic, less-skilled, and not as good of a shooter as his brother. I’m confident that he’s going to make a career for himself in the NBA, just as I am with Keegan. That deep into the draft, it would be impossible to make a factual determination as to who is the best player available, but unless you’re certain that it’s Kris, wouldn’t you agree that it makes more sense to select a player who has strengths in areas that the current roster does not?

My assumption is that Sacramento will re-sign at least one of Barnes or Lyles, both of whom are better than Kris Murray is likely to become, and certainly provide the depth/redundancy that rosters need.

It doesn’t make sense to me to acquire a player so similar to one you’ve got, unless you’re confident that he will shore areas where the roster is weak. Nothing indicates that Kris Murray is going to be a plus-defender, rebounder, or shot-blocker, and making a player like that a long-term investment just doesn’t offer the kind of risk/reward probabilities that you hope for when picking at the back of the first round.

I’ve been very busy explaining why I would pass on Kris Murray. Like Keegan, he is a good college player, and has nearly identical physical characteristics. Why would he be a more sensible choice than a long, athletic wing who defends and shoots decently, or a center/PF who rebounds and blocks shots?

Jack
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May 25, 2023 11:12 am
Reply to  andy_sims

I prefer to use the 24th pick to try and get a proven player now in the NBA that would help the Kings now especially at PF or backup center.

andy_sims
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May 25, 2023 1:32 pm
Reply to  Jack

There’s no such thing as a proven player who has never been drafted, let alone played in the NBA.

Jack
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May 25, 2023 3:42 pm
Reply to  andy_sims

{

NorCalKingsFan
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May 25, 2023 3:42 pm
Reply to  andy_sims

I believe Jack may have been referring to trading the pick…but I agree with your drafting philosophy.

andy_sims
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May 25, 2023 4:44 pm
Reply to  NorCalKingsFan

Ah, that makes sense. Sorry, Jack!

Jack
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May 25, 2023 3:52 pm
Reply to  andy_sims

I quess I meant established. Sorry.

macdoogs
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May 25, 2023 11:26 am
Reply to  andy_sims

That kid from Michigan reminds me an awful lot of Fox from the highlights I’ve seen from him. His ability to split defenders and make ridiculous lay ups at the basket is almost a mirror image

Sacto_J
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May 25, 2023 8:54 pm
Reply to  macdoogs

I watched Bufkin all season and he and Fox have a few similarities in so much as how they move (and maybe the hair,) but Fox was way faster as a rookie and Bufkin, I think, is a better scorer than Fox was coming out of college, def more of a 2 guard who will seriously struggle to guard 2’s at first. Lots of potential to be an elite scorer, though.

murraytant
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May 25, 2023 11:16 am
Reply to  Bryant

I think Kris is a really good player, not as good as Keegan but at 24, a high value pick. But…I disagree with Bryant about redundancy. Versatility makes a difference, especially the deeper into the playoffs. Adjustments are made with versatility and different looks. The Kings will keep Keegan, probably get Sasha and keep either both or one of HB and Lyles. Losing either of them for nothing would be a mistake. If they draft Kris, they will then have 4-5 similar players- slow for SF, not huge for PF and none of them address the rim protection, larger bodies in the defensive paint issue. And the 4-5 would compete for the same minutes at just 2 (sometimes back up 5) positions. Good talent but two would be new and one to two would be on first year deals. Talent wise and BPA wise, Kris might very well be the best pick at 24 but I do think redundancy and the consequent anti-versatility issue is important.
At 24: I think that the top 20 are set with some draft day exceptions. Rupert and Clowney may fall out of that group but neither are better than Kris. From 20-23, L. Miller who is slightly redundant but rebounds well, helping with that need. Bilal and Kris round out the top 23. I doubt Monte goes for Bilal – too young and too “uncertain” for Monte’s tastes.

The next level is Whitehead who could replace TD if he is let go. At the same time, Lively and TJD are likely to be available. Both address a specific need- back up DS, big body, rim protection in the paint. Which FA could do that and at what cost? Naz Reid, Drew Eubanks??? The cost might be HB’s salary gets sacrificed.
Cissoko adds some versatility and D but his shot is suspect. Not sure if his differences are greater than Kris’s inherent value.
I like Kris, I like the symmetry of the twins but drafting him is redundant and probably assures the loss of HB.
Will there be enough 3/4 minutes for Keegan, Kris, Lyles, HB and Sasha? With rare exceptions, they all play the same two positions. The Kings searched all year for a credible long term back up to DS- that, to me is the overall priority, in the draft or FA.

There are times when “redundancy” argument is irrelevant- like drafting a second Fox but here I think that argument holds more sway.

I am glad that I am not Monte. since he may end up with this situation.

TheGrantNapear
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May 25, 2023 1:53 pm
Reply to  andy_sims

I have to agree. Late in the first round fit matters for a team that is looking to take the next step for a deep playoff run next year. The needs on this team are abundantly obvious. If Sasha comes over than Kris will be that much more redundant on this roster.
We need athleticism and defense at the four! Find one in FA and find one in the draft.

Hamlet1989
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May 28, 2023 9:32 am
Reply to  TheGrantNapear

Of course, what we really need is another Grant Napear!

Hamlet1989
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May 28, 2023 8:56 am
Reply to  andy_sims

What if Keegan gets hurt?

Hamlet1989
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May 28, 2023 8:58 am
Reply to  andy_sims

Keegan can’t play 48 minutes.

Hamlet1989
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May 28, 2023 9:05 am
Reply to  andy_sims

To your point about redundancy, I don’t think anyone is considering starting them next to each other. Of course, IMO, that wouldn’t be any worse than starting Keegan next to HB since they also are identical twins as BB players.

RAP87
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May 25, 2023 9:31 am

I wouldn’t mind if the Kings decides Kris is the pick at 24 and don’t mind if they think he isn’t. The team needs more guys at that 6’6 to 6’9 range that can shoot and rebound the basketball.

Lots of guys out there that I think can help the Kings at 24. I would even want the Kings to take a flier at Emoni Bates at 24. And if we keep both our 2nd round picks though I highly doubt it, but if they do, I hope they can get Tristan Vuksevic and Kobe Brown

Last edited 10 months ago by RAP87
macdoogs
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May 25, 2023 11:42 am
Reply to  RAP87

Idk at 24 but I’d love to take a flyer on Emoni with one of our 2nd rounders. He was the big fish in a tiny pond at his school and I feel like on our team his efficiency would skyrocket due to not being anywhere near the main option. The kid is a bucket and lord knows we need someone who can get one on the 2nd unit. I feel like Coach Brown can do wonders for him and his career

RAP87
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May 25, 2023 12:17 pm
Reply to  macdoogs

Indeed. It will come down to how coachable Emoni Bates is and if he is willing to learn and play in a team concept. He was once heralded as the best player in the country at an early age. I know he did well at the combine and if the Kings can sit him down and interview him and agree to a workout, I mean he could definitely be the steal of the draft. 24 is such a crap shoot that I really don’t mind if he is the pick at 24.

macdoogs
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May 25, 2023 5:02 pm
Reply to  RAP87

If he was the pick at 24 I wouldn’t be mad at all personally. Talent is talent no matter where it’s drafted and he’s a player I’d love to take a gamble on

HongKongKingsFan
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May 25, 2023 9:48 am

The best sceriao is in order not to make Kings fans regret for not drafting Kris Murray at #24, he’d better be picked up before the Kings’ pick……..

If he was pick before #24, and pan out to be a good player, we have no regret at all…as we don’t have a choice…

BuffaloDiaspora
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May 25, 2023 10:26 am

Signing Sasha and drafting Kris Murray would make the Kings quite possibly the most left-handed team in NBA history.

macdoogs
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May 25, 2023 11:28 am

As a lefty, I’m all for it. Keegan is also left handed but plays right I’m pretty sure too.

UpgradedToQuestionable
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May 25, 2023 5:56 pm
Reply to  macdoogs

If the Kings have the most left handed team in NBA history I think I’d just invoke a Wooderson:
comment image

macdoogs
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May 25, 2023 11:37 am

There’s a handful of players I’d love at 24, and Kris is one of them. I do think he gets picked before we come up though. I’m all aboard the Bilal train as of right now. The more I watch that “kid” (6’6, 230), the more I think he will be the steal of the draft. Size, length, IQ, athleticism, and pesky defense is just what the Dr ordered for our team. Half of his highlights were him just plucking the ball away on D and he gives me Kawhi vibes.

I have a feeling we’re going to trade out of the pick for an established player but there’s so much talent to be had in this draft around our pick and into the 2nd round.

RobHessing
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May 25, 2023 11:55 am

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Klam
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Nostradumbass 18
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May 25, 2023 12:38 pm
Reply to  RobHessing

comment image

andy_sims
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May 25, 2023 1:36 pm
Reply to  Klam

Marx Brothers get auto-recs.

UpgradedToQuestionable
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May 25, 2023 6:06 pm
Reply to  andy_sims

Tom and Dick Van Arsdale (both All-Stars!)
Horace and Harvey Grant
Brook and Robin Lopez
Marcus and Markieff Morris
Jason and Jarron Collins
David and Travis Wear
Aaron and Andrew Harrison
Caleb and Cody Martin

Soon to be Keegan and Kris Murray.
comment image

RobHessing
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May 26, 2023 7:27 am

Jason and Walt Williams!

rff
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May 25, 2023 12:04 pm

Would Hueter, Mitchell, Holmes, the 24th and 2 first rounders be enough to get Jaylen Brown from Boston?

Amonk81
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May 25, 2023 1:24 pm
Reply to  rff

No but that would be awesome.

Whatever the Kings do they have to nab shooters and D.

Can’t have non shooters (since Sabonis is already one unless he improves), especially in the playoffs. This is the issue w Davion. Teams don’t cover him on O.

Teams that go far have shooters everywhere and those that make in the playoffs.

Get a shooter and get defenders. Try to Get Sabonis to hit his mid range. Really unacceptable to do what he did when GS sagged off. Get players who perform better or at their level in the playoffs. (I’m looking at you Heurter, Barnes).

TheGrantNapear
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May 25, 2023 1:57 pm
Reply to  rff

Bill Simmons posited a JB to Portland trade where Portland would be sending back Simons and two firsts if I remember correctly; so your trade is a decent comp and potentially doable.
The question is do you want JB on some $50 million a year contract? I don’t. I don’t think he’s worth it. You’d be locked in on a Fox, Ox and JB core which in my opinion would have limitation given you’d nuke the depth around them having to pay all three of them. In a vacuum I’m just not a fan of JB’s game.

UpgradedToQuestionable
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May 25, 2023 6:09 pm
Reply to  TheGrantNapear

Jaylen Brown with De’Aaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis? SIGN ME UP! $50M/season – absolutely! Vivek in the luxury tax is perfectly fine with me. He owes the fans, big time!

We could argue who the best player on team was. I’d love it. That would make Sacramento a title contender. How could you not want that?

Last edited 10 months ago by UpgradedToQuestionable
TheGrantNapear
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May 25, 2023 6:16 pm

The luxury tax thing is a big issue now with the new CBA, teams like the duds, fakers and Suns are going to learn that this summer in trying to build a team around their stars, that’s not a position the Kings want to be in.

UpgradedToQuestionable
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May 25, 2023 11:29 pm
Reply to  TheGrantNapear

why? It’s just Vivek’s money. I’m okay with him having less and Kings fans having a more competitive team.

Adamsite
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May 25, 2023 12:17 pm

I smile at the idea of Kris and Keegan playing together, but I’m not sure its reasonable to expect. If Sasha commits to coming over and the Kings are intent on keeping one of Barnes or Lyles, I don’t think there will be a role for Kris. He’d basically be battling for minutes with Kessler Edwards.

Now, if Sasha doesn’t come over, Barnes walks and Lyles is in limbo, then yeah! The Kings will need a 3/4 combo to pair with Keegan because thy would be incredibly shallow at the wing.

I just hope Monte has a strong pulse on the future of Sasha, Barnes and Lyles because their status is going to determine what kind of player the Kings are looking for in the draft.

TheGrantNapear
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May 25, 2023 1:58 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

Indeed if Sasha is in the fold there would be clear redundancy with Kris, Keegan, Sasha and potentially HB and Lyles. My hope is we can work a S n T for HB for an athletic 4.

Adamsite
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May 25, 2023 4:14 pm
Reply to  TheGrantNapear

The thing about Barnes is that currently there are few teams with cap space to outright sign him. I’m wagering he is going to want something in the ballpark at $15M per year at minimum. Who has that kind of space? Currently it’s the Rockets, Pacers and possibly the Spurs and Pistons. Projected practical cap space for teams balloons the options to about 10 teams, but only if they renounce their RFAs, TOs, etc. The Lakers are one of those teams. Remember a team has to have the space to complete a sign and trade. A team like the Warriors, for example, cannot offer Barnes $15M per year then offer to trade the Kings Kuminga and Moody.

So is Barnes going to take money to go to a rebuilding team or stay with the Kings on a possible discount?

Jack
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May 25, 2023 5:10 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

Can the kings sign and trade Barnes to say for instance the Bucks for Bobby Portis? Like the reverse. Just hypothetical.

Adamsite
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May 25, 2023 7:10 pm
Reply to  Jack

No. Bucks are way over the cap. They have no room to sign Barnes to complete the S&T.

The Kings could re-sign Barnes, but can’t trade him until much later in the season.

TheGrantNapear
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May 25, 2023 6:18 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

I think there will be SnT options with HB, especially as you say with these teams already in the luxury tax and needing to tip toe around the new CBA. MM will have options in moving HB.

TheGrantNapear
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May 25, 2023 1:51 pm

The slow moving lefty shooting stroke reminds me of Sam Perkins. Might be a decent comp for him actually given the lack of athleticism and ground bound game.

Sacto_J
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May 25, 2023 9:23 pm

I like Kris, watched a lot more college ball this year than I have since I was in my teens and, outside of all the stats and blah blah blah I think the Murray twins both have a certain “it” factor when it comes to intangibles and raising the level of their teammates play by example. They both exhibit a respect for the game and play the right way and I wouldn’t have any issue whatsoever with having them both. I’ll add that McNair has proven his draft and acquisition acumen at this point and even tho there’s at least 2 players I’d rather see than Kris (and one will likely be available) I would be completely fine if Kris was the pick. It means a few signings and maybe a trade or 2 are coming and that could get really interesting.

Hamlet1989
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May 28, 2023 8:59 am

Do we know that Keegan would like having his brother work with him? Maybe they already spend enough time together.

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