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Kings vs. Rockets Preview: Going for the season sweep

Can the Kings finally get three games over .500?
By | 90 Comments | Mar 1, 2025

Jan 16, 2025; Sacramento, California, USA; Houston Rockets guard Jalen Green (4) dribbles the ball up the court against Sacramento Kings guard Malik Monk (0) during the fourth quarter at Golden 1 Center. Mandatory Credit: Sergio Estrada-Imagn Images

The Kings have already won the season series against Houston, winning both games against the Rockets at home in what were very physical and close contests throughout.  But now the Kings are in Houston’s territory, a much tougher environment as the Rockets are 20-9 at home this season.  This is a big step up from Sacramento’s last two opponents, so hopefully the Kings are ready to respond in kind.

Let’s talk Kings basketball!

When: Saturday, March 1st, 5:00 PM PT
Where: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
TV: NBC Sports California
RadioSactown Sports 1140 AM

For Your Consideration

The Rockets have taken a major leap this season, but of late they’re actually slipping a bit in the standings.  The last time the Kings faced Houston they were solidly in 3rd place in the Western Conference, but Denver and the Lakers have leapfrogged them and Houston now sits in 5th.  There’s only 1.5 games separating 2nd and 5th so homecourt in the first round is still very much in play for the Rockets.  The Kings meanwhile are just fighting to stay in the playoff race.  Sacramento is solidly in 10th right now, 3 games ahead of the 11th place Suns and 1.5 games behind the Clippers and Warriors who sit tied for 6th.

Houston, unlike Sacramento, stood pat at the trade deadline, conserving their ammo for the offseason and seeing how much damage this current group could do this season.  Jabari Smith is recently back from injury as well, bringing a boost to Houston’s frontcourt. Smith missed the last matchup against the Kings, as did Fred VanVleet, who is listed as questionable coming into tonight as he’s dealing with an ankle injury.

The Kings have played well against the Rockets so far this season despite Houston being a team seemingly built to give the Kings trouble; Houston is long at almost every position, with athletic wings like Smith, Tari Eason, Dillon Brooks, Cam Whitmore and rising star Amen Thompson.  Thompson in particular might be the most athletic player in the NBA today, and he was a force in the last game against the Kings, scoring 20 points on 8-12 from the floor with 10 rebounds, 5 assists and 2 blocks, all while holding De’Aaron Fox to 6-17 shooting.  That’s not even to mention Jalen Green, who always seems to bring his A-game against the Kings.

Alperen Sengun and Steven Adams are also solid interior presences that have given Domantas Sabonis trouble in the past, although Sabonis has done well in both matchups against Houston this season.  Hopefully he can rediscover a bit of his mojo tonight as he’s been a bit off of late.  Against Utah, Sabonis was thoroughly outplayed by Walker Kessler, scoring just 12 points and grabbing 9 rebounds, a rare two games in a row that Sabonis has failed to notch a double-double.  I’m not sure whether Sabonis is playing hurt or merely more affected by Sacramento’s new roster shakeup than others (or more likely some combination of both), but the Kings need to figure out how to keep him involved early and often as he’s this team’s most important player.  For those wondering how Zach LaVine has done against Houston this year, he’s only played them once and scored 15 points on 4-9 shooting in a 36 point Bulls loss back in November.  LaVine was the only Bulls rotation player to score double-digits that game.

Both these teams have had a couple of days off and so should be well rested. I’m going to guess this one’s going to be very physical, much like the previous two were, but if the Kings can take care of the ball and keep the Rockets from killing them in the fastbreak (3rd in the NBA in fastbreak points a game), they should have a good chance, as the Rockets offense slows way down in the halfcourt.

For the Kings, this is yet another opportunity to get through the two games above .500 barrier, something they have yet to do this season.  The last time they had a chance was just before the All-Star break against the Zion-less Pelicans, where they fumbled their opportunity.  Tonight will be a much tougher test, but sometimes that’s what’s needed for the Kings to give their utmost.

Prediction

Someone’s getting ejected tonight and Ime Udoka is definitely getting at least one technical.

Kings 115, Rockets 107

 

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TerzoM
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March 1, 2025 11:01 am

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Jman1949
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March 1, 2025 11:03 am

At the break the Rockets were crashing;
More than once they took a bad thrashing.
Made no trade bid for Fox,
Even with some hard knocks.
We’d sure love to give them a bashing!

Jman1949
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March 1, 2025 11:05 am
Reply to  Jman1949

+1 Let’s give the Rockets slim pickin’s!
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RobHessing
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March 1, 2025 12:54 pm
Reply to  Jman1949

Ride the Rockets. It’s a Musk win game.

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RikSmits
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March 1, 2025 2:26 pm
Reply to  RobHessing

I hope we can Doge that bullet/rocket.

RikSmits
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March 1, 2025 2:27 pm
Reply to  RikSmits

Isn’t a rocket just a big, Elongated bullet?

Carl
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March 1, 2025 2:37 pm
Reply to  RikSmits

I hope we do notsee a loss.

1951
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March 1, 2025 3:44 pm
Reply to  Carl

You must be Putin me on with these puns.

RobHessing
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March 1, 2025 5:16 pm
Reply to  1951

At least you took your time and didn’t go Russian into this sub-thread.

Last edited 17 days ago by RobHessing
Jman1949
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March 1, 2025 3:17 pm
Reply to  RikSmits

We’ll be ok if we just layoff the turnovers and dictate the pace of play.

Klam
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March 1, 2025 11:04 am

IIRC, I don’t believe we’ve been more than 3 games over .500 this season? I think we were at 23-20 after the game against Golden State.

Jman1949
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March 1, 2025 11:13 am

JV vs Steven Adams could be HUGE!
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RPO
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RPO
March 1, 2025 12:57 pm

I’m expecting the typical Kings performance against a good team – fall behind big early, rally a bit in the second and/or 3rd Q, then flail and fail at the end.

Adamsite
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Nostradumbass 14
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March 1, 2025 2:28 pm

Just my personal opinion, but VanVleet is the kind of PG this Kings could really use. He’s steady, doesn’t force things, doesn’t require a bunch of shots but is respectable from deep, has reasonable usage, and plays pretty solid defense. Had the Kings not traded Fox, he would have been a nice addition to a possible trade from Houston. Water under the bridge now.

So whoever the Kings find to play PG next year (fingers crossed), I think one in the mold of VanVleet would be a nice fit.

Carl
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March 1, 2025 5:37 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

Still predicting Trae Young and change for Monk, DDR, Carter and a future first. The Kings front office LOVES offensive counting stats players. Be ready, my friend.

Adamsite
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March 1, 2025 5:42 pm
Reply to  Carl

Trae Young is an awfully high bar for this front office. I’m bracing for Jordan Poole.

Mike120
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March 1, 2025 6:09 pm
Reply to  Carl

Trae is the Fun Size version of Fox with worse defense.

DannyG
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March 1, 2025 6:39 pm
Reply to  Mike120

Whatever size Trae is….he has won games.

9sac8
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March 1, 2025 7:33 pm
Reply to  Mike120

Trae Young is this team’s Mike Bibby.

MidtownMike
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March 1, 2025 8:51 pm
Reply to  Carl

With that trade you easily slide keon into the lineup and your defense actually improves.

trae/keon/lavine/murray/sabonis >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> monk/ddr/lavine/murray/sabonis

DannyG
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March 1, 2025 9:12 pm
Reply to  MidtownMike

Keon can slide in now but there is a reason it does not happen.

MidtownMike
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March 1, 2025 9:43 pm
Reply to  DannyG

Yeah they don’t want to bruise egos of monk or ddr

Hamlet1989
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March 2, 2025 8:25 am
Reply to  MidtownMike

As much as I’ve gone out on a limb to align myself with you here lately, I could hardly be less enthused with this idea.

DannyG
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March 1, 2025 9:14 pm
Reply to  Carl

Keon might go in that deal and Carter stays. They have not had any time to see what Carter is. Not usual to get rid of first rounder so soon without knowing what he is as a player.

MidtownMike
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March 1, 2025 9:43 pm
Reply to  DannyG

Only if atl requires him, no shot kings elect to give up keon over carter

Hamlet1989
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March 2, 2025 8:17 am
Reply to  Carl

Counting stat players like Davion Mitchell?

Hamlet1989
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March 2, 2025 8:21 am
Reply to  Adamsite

$45mil. left on an expiring contract for a barely above average starting PG? Hard pass!

Klam
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March 1, 2025 6:15 pm

Oh boy, Sabonis got a hamstring injury. Wonder how long he may end up missing.

At least we have JV this time around.

Hobby916
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March 1, 2025 6:16 pm
Reply to  Klam

Having Domas insurance is nice

DannyG
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March 1, 2025 6:40 pm
Reply to  Hobby916

Not only one insurance policy. Multiple policies in place now.

DannyG
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March 1, 2025 6:38 pm
Reply to  Klam

Not having a balanced roster for two years cost us Sabonis. Glad we have one now. Great to see a bench with bigs instead of small guards without any playing experience.

We got better in the last few weeks.

TerzoM
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March 1, 2025 6:58 pm

Keon Ellis

BuffaloDiaspora
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March 1, 2025 7:00 pm
Reply to  TerzoM

He’s so absurdly good given his contract. I really hope we can re-sign him.

BeTheBall
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March 1, 2025 7:36 pm

A CBA guru can correct me if I’m wrong, but we can sign him via full Bird after next year.

Hamlet1989
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March 2, 2025 8:49 am
Reply to  BeTheBall

I’m no guru, but I’m pretty sure you are correct.

Jman1949
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March 2, 2025 10:55 am
Reply to  Hamlet1989

I think so, too. My only concern is that spotrac (which is usually very reliable) lists Keon as an unrestricted free agent for the 26-27 season. I’m hoping that’s just a technicality because the Kings have not yet officially picked up his option for next season.

Hamlet1989
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March 2, 2025 7:44 pm
Reply to  Jman1949

I believe 3 year contracts that go to expiration end in unrestricted free-agency, but the team can extend after 2 using Bird rights, and Full-Bird rights in Ellis’ case, if I’m right.

Hobby916
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March 1, 2025 7:22 pm

LTB!!

Carl
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March 1, 2025 7:49 pm

Didn’t get to watch, but that’s a good win over a quality team. Certainly having Domas out is not going to help this team, but I do wonder if they might get a little better defensively with JV playing center.

RobHessing
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March 1, 2025 8:10 pm

Good scoreboard night. Mavs lost. Dubs lost.

Keon Ellis, man. And a major JV hat tip.

Klam
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March 1, 2025 8:34 pm
Reply to  RobHessing

Looks like trying the 6th-10th spot will be a mixture of the Clippers, Warriors, Mavericks, Wolves, and the Kings (barring some unexpected resurgence from the Suns).

Last edited 17 days ago by Klam
Hamlet1989
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March 2, 2025 8:46 am
Reply to  Klam

6-10 is a dead heat right now. Sac needs to secure the tie-breaker in Dallas tomorrow. Then the Nugs on Wednesday, Denver is always a tough ask.

Klam
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March 2, 2025 10:39 am
Reply to  Hamlet1989

Still got one more game against Golden State too coming up mid-March. If we win that, we’ll have the tiebreaker against them.

RikSmits
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March 1, 2025 11:45 pm
Reply to  RobHessing

Ken Ellis and JV were spectacular.

It is still a crime that Ellis won’t crack the 30 minutes. For Christie sake, Doug!

Jman1949
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March 2, 2025 6:23 am
Reply to  RikSmits

I think the Kings’ early first quarter success played a part in Keon not getting as many minutes as he might have. DC decided to stay with the starters (other than JV for the injured Domas) as they were building up that 21 – 7 lead. After JV, the first subs didn’t enter until about 4-1/2 minutes were left in the quarter, about 2 or 3 minutes later than Keon has been entering recently.

eddie41
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March 1, 2025 11:33 pm

Let’s go Kings Herald. Toss your tanks away and help push this thing into the playoffs.

Kfan
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March 2, 2025 10:33 am
Reply to  eddie41

We’re so spoiled

macdoogs
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March 2, 2025 1:21 am

A young core of Sengun, Hali, and Fox would have been something good me thinks. We were short on undersized point guards at the time though, so I suppose I can see Monte’s logic.

Good win though. New KANGZ team is starting to seem not so terrible after all. Hopefully they can keep it up

RPO
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March 2, 2025 6:52 am

I figured we’d fall behind big early, rally in the middle quarters, and then lose it at the end. The team completely flipped that script around on Hou. It was an impressive win against a good team. The Kings were the better team in this game, not dominant but still clearly the better team throughout.

MidtownMike
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March 2, 2025 7:44 am

Sim buellar?

maybe biggest win of the season and 12 hrs of silence here??

Hamlet1989
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March 2, 2025 8:06 am
Reply to  MidtownMike

Greg and Co. pre-wrote the post-game review to read like a season obituary, and now they are nursing their hang-overs with anti-depressants. I can’t wait to see them show back up on Monday and try to paint a pretty picture after painting themselves into a corner.

MidtownMike
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March 2, 2025 8:33 am
Reply to  Hamlet1989

I love it. It’s weird that it seems every show/podcast is doom and gloom except duece and mo and whitey/drapes

Greg
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March 2, 2025 12:30 pm
Reply to  Hamlet1989

I’ve been moving all weekend and have zero time to watch a game. You think I care that much about being wrong? You must be new here, I know I’m wrong constantly. I’m sorry that the writers here have lives and on rare occasion that causes gaps or delays in coverage.

Last edited 16 days ago by Greg Wissinger
DannyG
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March 2, 2025 2:17 pm
Reply to  Greg

Moving is the WORST!

I hope your back is ok and you have had enough Advil and beer to soothe the physical and mental pain. Most importantly I hope you and your family settle in and enjoy your new home.

Hamlet1989
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March 2, 2025 7:37 pm
Reply to  Greg

Ugh! I hate moving! Nothing to apologize for, I’m just blowing off steam, and talking smack. You guys work hard going out of your way to keep us entertained, and I sit back, play the deletant, and complain. Don’t take me too seriously. And thanks, really.

DannyG
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March 2, 2025 2:16 pm
Reply to  Hamlet1989

I have not paid much attention to what you write but lately it has been trash.

Hobby916
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March 2, 2025 8:23 am
Reply to  MidtownMike

comment image

Watty4ever
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March 2, 2025 9:22 am
Reply to  MidtownMike

The doom & gloom crowd who doesn’t want to recognize that roster has probably improved and Kings now fighting for 6th place instead of 10th …. Although they’re doing it on the fly and half the roster is new, these wins don’t fit the narrative.

Carl
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March 2, 2025 9:23 am
Reply to  Watty4ever

Let’s all come back at the end of the season, leave our excuses behind and see where we’re at.

DannyG
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March 2, 2025 2:20 pm
Reply to  Carl

Let’s all enjoy the season and watching this new balanced roster play basketball.

In theory we all want this team to win. In every group there are outliers though.

MidtownMike
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March 2, 2025 9:34 am
Reply to  Watty4ever

100%

Adamsite
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March 2, 2025 9:45 am
Reply to  Watty4ever

Chill, amigo. The team is 3 games above .500 and likely just lost Sabonis for an extended amount of time. FWIW, the Kings were 9 games above .500 through 59 games last season and where coming off a victory over the first place T-Wolves.

These guys need to go 16-7 the rest of the way, against one of the hardest strength of schedules and possibly without Domas, just to mach last season’s record. Let it play out before calling folks out.

Watty4ever
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March 2, 2025 9:58 am
Reply to  Adamsite

Playing poorly if one of their best players is out for an extended time would certainly be informative. The old shtick about how good Fox was and looking back to old FO mistakes, of which there are too many to count, has also grown tiresome.

Biggest mistakes over the last 7 years were likely committing to Fox over Luka and then Hali, so the dig out might not be seamless. But yeah, let’s check back at end of season and compare notes.

DannyG
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March 2, 2025 2:24 pm
Reply to  Watty4ever

The fresh roster is so damn refreshing. We have forwards and a very good center to play behind Sabonis.

We have a team built to be a team instead of roster built around singular player.

Hobby916
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March 2, 2025 10:03 am
Reply to  Adamsite

Would you expect the same silence if the Kings would have lost the game?

Adamsite
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March 2, 2025 10:10 am
Reply to  Hobby916

You really think there is some conspiracy or an unwillingness by the contributors on this site because the Kings won?? Seriously?

Hobby916
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March 2, 2025 10:25 am
Reply to  Adamsite

Nope. Just that the pessimism on the site, in general, since the trade has ramped up. And a significant win against a team above the Kings in the standings has no game thread, post game thread, or recap.

The previous 2 wins were viewed as empty because of the competition, and we were all waiting for a them to do it against a “real team”. Alas, they did just that, and nothing.

Adamsite
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March 2, 2025 10:35 am
Reply to  Hobby916

Or it could just be because it’s the weekend of folks are busy with their lives. I recall plenty of discussion after the Kings beat the Celtics in Boston without Fox, but whatever.

Kfan
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March 2, 2025 10:38 am
Reply to  Adamsite

We’re so spoiled

Kfan
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March 2, 2025 10:43 am
Reply to  Hobby916

Conspiracy theory of the day for the new thread delay.

“This is what happens when everyone makes fun of Musk in today’s America”

RikSmits
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March 2, 2025 11:09 am
Reply to  Hobby916

Could it be that DOGE fired the TKH staff? Or took away their posting capabilities.

As long as I can blame Greg…

ForKingsandCountry
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March 2, 2025 1:33 pm
Reply to  Hobby916

If it makes you feel better, I was really pessimistic about the team before the trade.

MidtownMike
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March 2, 2025 10:10 am
Reply to  Hobby916

Zero chance lol

DannyG
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March 2, 2025 2:22 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

Why does it hurt to see this team win?

Our bench is clearly better and Lavine is anything but a bust. We are a decent basketball team. That is better than the bad team we were for the last four months. Enjoy the Kings winning.

You can still see Fox play in San Antonio. He did not vanish from Earth.

Marty
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March 2, 2025 1:29 pm
Reply to  Watty4ever

The unpredictability of a (hopefully) .500 team with the worst owner in sports cannot be smoothed out with a surprise win versus Houston.

At the end of the season I’m sure there will be enough optimism to think next year will be better, and enough pessimism so think nothing has changed.

Either way I would bet the farm when you zoom out to 20,000ft and look for a parade you’ll see nothing but irrelevancy in Sacramento.

Watty4ever
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March 2, 2025 6:40 pm
Reply to  Marty

That reality wasn’t different a month ago or two months ago, and life would get even harder over the next few years for any Kings fan hoping for a 50-win season or a parade if Fox did sign that $165MM/3 year extension offer before the season started.

I understand why peeps were hopeful that Fox might be a difference maker and team was on the rise after the surprise of 22-23 season, but 1.5 years later, after watching a 40-win team that was mostly going sideways or backwards …. I guess I just don’t understand the handwringing. The team got better, but the owner isn’t better than the McGoofs — what to do?

Hamlet1989
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March 2, 2025 8:32 am

Out of left field; am I the only one who noticed how much Luke Loucks looks like Volodymir Zelenskiy?

Hamlet1989
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March 2, 2025 8:59 am

This is obviously knee-jerk, but with how bad Domas has been over the last few, and now seeing JV step-up playing better than my expectations for Sabonis, I can’t help but begin to wonder, given the salaries involved: what could a Domas trade bring this off-season? $33mil. in salary relief to start… and assets?

Adamsite
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March 2, 2025 9:18 am
Reply to  Hamlet1989

Shhhh, quite you!

Vivek: “Poole? Poole?! Jordan Poole!! Poole Rocks!

BREAKING: Kings trade Domantas Sabonis for Jordan Poole, Richaun Holmes, and seven 2nd rounder pick swaps.

Hamlet1989
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March 2, 2025 10:24 am
Reply to  Adamsite

I didn’t want to ask, but the raw data, and results, themselves beg the question, even on a small sample size. If Sac goes on a run w/o Domas against this brutal strength of schedule, we may need to address the conversation. Nearly $44 mil. for a center in todays NBA is tough to justify, especially if he isn’t making annual post-season appearances. Domas is almost an unique offensive talent, and terribly under-appreciated league wide, but his deficiencies are obvious.
Of course the conversation is premature, but If they stay hot, a package of picks and a young promising center, (think Kel’el, Missi) along with cap-space becomes, at least, a bit attractive. Just sayin’.

Adamsite
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March 2, 2025 10:43 am
Reply to  Hamlet1989

For sure, it would be a discussion worth having if it plays out that way. No one is untouchable on a very average NBA team.

RikSmits
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March 2, 2025 11:12 am
Reply to  Adamsite

George Karl burner account confirmed!

Jman1949
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March 2, 2025 10:19 am
Reply to  Hamlet1989

Ha! I wondered when the “The team looks better with JV instead of Domas.” comments would show up.

Hamlet1989
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March 2, 2025 10:24 am
Reply to  Jman1949

I didn’t want to be the one to bring it up, but evidently I wasn’t the only one who dared entertain the thought.

Adamsite
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March 2, 2025 10:41 am
Reply to  Jman1949

I will say, JV looked absolutely gassed a few times last night. I wonder if his 32 year old legs just don’t have it anymore to be getting starter type of minutes. His minutes have decreased for 4 straight years, but yeah, he looked good on both ends of the court.

Just a detail, JV has averaged over 30 minutes just once in his career, and that was 4 years ago. Sabonis has averaged over 34 MPG for the past 7 straight years. It will be interesting to see how Christie uses JV while Domas is out.

RikSmits
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March 2, 2025 11:06 am
Reply to  Adamsite

Just start Keon at C.
All our problems will be solved.

Kfan
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March 2, 2025 1:04 pm
Reply to  RikSmits

Positionless Basketball! Or go full Vivek and just start Domas and he can cherry pick. 4 on 5!!

Hamlet1989
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March 2, 2025 7:27 pm
Reply to  RikSmits

Lol Totally!

Hamlet1989
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March 2, 2025 7:26 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

Great points! thanks

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