fbpx

Kings vs. Trail Blazers Preview: One final trial

The 2023-24 regular season comes to a close with the Kings needing one more win to increase their chances at a playoff spot.
By | 26 Comments | Apr 14, 2024

Dec 26, 2023; Portland, Oregon, USA; Sacramento Kings guard De'Aaron Fox (5) scores a basket during the second half against Portland Trail Blazers guard Scoot Henderson (00) at Moda Center. Mandatory Credit: Troy Wayrynen-USA TODAY Sports

The 2023-24 season is finally coming to a close and it’s been a fairly frustrating one for Kings fans. Two weeks ago the Kings seemed to be in the lead position to avoid the play-in and guarantee a playoff spot.  Now on this last day they’ll be fighting to avoid 10th.  This is the first year in almost two decades that the Kings have come in with actual expectations and it’s fair to say after the success of last season that this has been a step backwards.  But the season isn’t completely over yet and the Kings still have a chance to make some noise, but it will have to start with taking care of business against a Trail Blazers team playing for nothing but pride.

Let’s talk Kings basketball!

When: Sunday, April 14th, 12:30 PM PT
Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
TV: NBC Sports California
Radio: Sactown Sports 1140

Play-In Scenarios

Here’s what seed the Kings will land based off today’s games.  The pivotal games are Trail Blazers at Kings, Lakers at Pelicans and Jazz at Warriors.  As a reminder of how the Play-In works, the 7th and 8th seeds play each other with the winner getting the 7th seed.  The loser of that games plays the winner of the 9th and 10th seeds game, with that winner getting the 8th seed.  The best the Kings can do now is 8th, and they’ll need the Lakers to lose to New Orleans for that to happen.  Thankfully, the Pelicans still have something to play for themselves, as if they lose and Phoenix wins, they’ll be 7th rather than 6th.

8th: Kings win and Lakers lose – Kings would play the Suns on the road in this scenario in the 7-8 game.

9th: Kings win and Lakers win or Kings lose and Warriors lose – Kings would host the Warriors in the 9-10 game.

10th: Kings lose and Warriors & Lakers win – Warriors would host the Kings in the 9-10 game.

10th: Kings & Lakers lose and Warriors win – Lakers would host the Kings in the 9-10 game.

Preview

Today’s preview is going to be a little bit different since it’s the last of the season.  First off, I want to thank you all.  I had big shoes to fill as Will has done such an excellent, in-depth job with these game previews over the last several years and I hope I was able to fill those expectations in a small part.  I haven’t consistently written game previews since the Sactown Royalty days, so it was fun to brush off the keyboard and get back to writing on a consistent basis.  Creating this website with the friends I’ve created over the years and the community we’ve all built has been one of the most rewarding endeavors I’ve ever done and I look forward to seeing how it evolves and grows in the years to come.

Last season was the most fun I’ve had as a Kings fan in my entire life.  All those years of waiting and hoping, the failing and then failing again, finally coincided in a brilliant season as the Kings broke a 16 year playoff drought and took the defending champs the distance in their first ever series.  I got to go to my first playoff games ever and it was such a release of pent-up emotion after years of being in the cellar and it’s a feeling I’m not sure can be replicated again aside from perhaps ultimate victory.

This season has been far more up and down.  Despite their record being worse, I truly do feel that this Kings team is better than they were last season.  The issue is that the rest of the Western Conference got a lot better.  Last season, the Kings made the 3rd seed with 48 wins.  This year 48 wins might only mean a Play-in spot.  The Kings also got bit much harder by the injury bug.  Both Kevin Huerter and Malik Monk got knocked out for the season.  Trey Lyles and Sasha Vezenkov also missed extensive periods of time.  Then there were the numerous inexplicable losses to bad teams.  The Kings managed to lose games to each of the Hornets, Wizards, Pistons and Trail Blazers, and nearly lost two games to the Spurs if not for last minute miracles.  They’ve blown 20+ point 4th quarter leads and missed free throws that would have sealed games.  They’ve dropped multiple games to opponents missing their best players.  This was truly a season of missed opportunities and if the Kings don’t make the playoffs, they’ll have nobody to blame but themselves.

But regardless of how today goes and the play-ins/post-season go, this was also still a season full of some supreme highs.  Domantas Sabonis and De’Aaron Fox just put together two of the most impressive seasons in Sacramento Kings history.  Malik Monk is probably going to win 6th man of the year.  Keon Ellis has been a revelation in his second year as a 3-and-D roleplayer that looks to be a major part of this team’s rotation going forward.  Keegan Murray has gone from three-point specialist to a real two-way player, upping his defense by leaps and bounds while still being capable of being an inferno at times (remember his 47 point game against Utah?).  The Kings have also taken major steps up defensively as a team, especially in the last couple months.

This is still a team with a bright future, but this season also showed the limitations of simply running it back in a fiercely competitive Western Conference.  It’s not going to get any easier going forward.  The only team in the entire West that doesn’t seem primed to be a potential Playoff team next season is tonight’s opponent, Portland, as they just started their rebuild.  But every other team in the West is going to come into next season with realistic expectations of playing in the post-season, and hopefully the Kings can find a way to stay above water in the rising tide.  This is going to be a pivotal summer for Monte McNair and company.

Prediction

The Kings light one last beam for the regular season but will have to earn their playoff spot the hard way as the Lakers will also beat the Pelicans and secure the 8th spot, setting up a Kings vs. Warriors elimination game in Sacramento for the second year in a row.

Kings 125, Blazers 109

(No fan predictions today because of the early start, but we’ll keep doing them for any Play-In and Playoff games that are to come)

 

Patreon Membership
* indicates required


To prevent spam, our system flags comments that include too many hyperlinks. If you would like to share a comment with multiple links, make sure you email [email protected] for it to be approved.

Subscribe
Notify of
26 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments
Jman1949
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Patreon Supporter
April 14, 2024 10:05 am

Fell back when we needed to peak.
Must beat Portland to end this loss streak.
We’ll head for the play-in,
Low chance that we’ll stay in—
Win today so we don’t look so weak!

Jman1949
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Patreon Supporter
April 14, 2024 10:06 am
Reply to  Jman1949

+1 “The only team in the entire West that doesn’t seem primed to be a potential Playoff team next season is tonight’s opponent, “

comment image&ct=g

HoustonJP
Original Member
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Comments
Vote Up
April 14, 2024 12:42 pm
Reply to  Jman1949

Jman,

Thank you for these all season.

RikSmits
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
April 14, 2024 10:24 am

Come on guys, end the regular season on a positive note and do something about that anemic point differential.

I wonder how many (spray) threes we’ll take tonight.

UpgradedToQuestionable
Comments
Vote Up
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Patreon Supporter
April 14, 2024 10:38 am
Reply to  RikSmits

Play it, don’t spray it!

Klam
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Nostradumbass 18
Nostradumbass 19
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Nostradumbass 18
Nostradumbass 19
April 14, 2024 10:34 am

comment image

9sac8
Comments
Vote Up
Comments
Vote Up
April 14, 2024 5:12 pm
Reply to  Klam

No Diddy

Hobby916
Comments
Vote Up
Comments
Vote Up
April 14, 2024 10:35 am

Win or lose, I won’t be surprised.

Adamsite
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Nostradumbass 14
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Nostradumbass 14
April 14, 2024 10:37 am

If the Kings don’t win this one today, then they are toast in the play-in. It would be an embarrassing end to the season losing 6 of 7. Major changes would need to be made this summer.

Hobby916
Comments
Vote Up
Comments
Vote Up
April 14, 2024 10:38 am
Reply to  Adamsite

I think they need some major changes, no matter the outcome of today’s game.

Klam
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Nostradumbass 18
Nostradumbass 19
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Nostradumbass 18
Nostradumbass 19
April 14, 2024 10:45 am
Reply to  Hobby916

Yep.

Adamsite
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Nostradumbass 14
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Nostradumbass 14
April 14, 2024 10:45 am
Reply to  Hobby916

I think there is a real chance that they win today, coupled with a Lakers loss to the Pels, and the Kings then shock the Suns in the 7/8 game, but lose in the first round.

Unfortunately, that will mean Monte will roll it back next year because as I’m sure Kayte will point out: “If they only had Monk and Huerter they could have made a real run.”

Hobby916
Comments
Vote Up
Comments
Vote Up
April 14, 2024 10:56 am
Reply to  Adamsite

I hope Monte has enough data on the past 2 seasons to see that the ceiling for the current roster is isn’t very high.

If he thinks differently, stands mostly pat, then some legit questions about him would need to be asked.

Amonk81
Original Member
Vote Up
Comments
Original Member
Vote Up
Comments
April 14, 2024 12:02 pm
Reply to  Hobby916

Yes. If he stands pat, Monte’s vision is off/wrong. I’m already wondering about the style he wants to play and players he brought in not matching what the coach does. And having a coach who won’t change.

Klam
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Nostradumbass 18
Nostradumbass 19
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Nostradumbass 18
Nostradumbass 19
April 14, 2024 11:14 am
Reply to  Adamsite

What the fans don’t understand is…

Jack
Comments
Vote Up
Comments
Vote Up
April 14, 2024 11:19 am
Reply to  Adamsite

And she would probably be right especially Monk. Still changes need to be made.

Amonk81
Original Member
Vote Up
Comments
Original Member
Vote Up
Comments
April 14, 2024 12:04 pm
Reply to  Jack

Bullshit. No Monk but still both their stars and they can’t win hardly anything down the stretch?

The Knicks have lost 2 keys pieces but keep winning. Luca was incredibly hobbled- but keep winning.

She’s not right. She’s making excuses.

Amonk81
Original Member
Vote Up
Comments
Original Member
Vote Up
Comments
April 14, 2024 12:07 pm
Reply to  Jack

…clippers without Kawhi. Etc etc etc. they all found a way to win enough.

. I hate this Kings announcer/organization/fan base- Excuses and being ok with making playoffs 1 year. This is not enough. This team amd coaching staff needs to be held accountable. Not be excused. That’s what shitty franchises do.

Amonk81
Original Member
Vote Up
Comments
Original Member
Vote Up
Comments
April 14, 2024 12:00 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

Exactly. This shit season is not about loss of players. This is the team
Monte has built thus far and Brown has (non)coached.

The very same team that didn’t have what it takes for playoff wins. And yet, the powers that be thought this was enough. Wanted to see how they do running it back-

Most other teams/announcers etc would be upset with what the Kings have done-regressed- and be calling for wholesale (or lots) of change.

I get so tired of this bullshit idea that the Kings broke the playoff streak and therefore everything is great. Build for playoff wins.

Bill2455
Comments
Vote Up
Comments
Vote Up
April 14, 2024 12:14 pm
Reply to  Hobby916

The only thing that matters is not paying a luxury tax.

Klam
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Nostradumbass 18
Nostradumbass 19
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Nostradumbass 18
Nostradumbass 19
April 14, 2024 10:45 am
Reply to  Adamsite

Regardless of whether the Warriors win or lose (apparently they’re resting their guys today), if the Kings lose today, it is going to be a rough one game exit. Having to play against Steph Curry in a win-or-go home game is the last thing I’d want to go against.

RikSmits
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
April 14, 2024 11:12 am
Reply to  Klam

The play-in games are knock-out games, so anything can happen. I try to stay optimistic.

RikSmits
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
April 14, 2024 11:14 am
Reply to  Klam

Curry and Greene are out. Kuminga questionable.

Jman1949
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Patreon Supporter
Comments
Vote Up
Original Member
Patreon Supporter
April 14, 2024 11:42 am
Reply to  Klam

I’d love to give the starters some extra rest today if we can do so without jeopardizing a win. Of course, we all know how that will go.

Pulling for the Pels to beat the L****s while the Suns battle it out with the TWolves.

DNP-CD
Comments
Comments
April 14, 2024 12:28 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

I think they are toast regardless of whether they win today or not.

Tankathon
Comments
Comments
April 14, 2024 11:37 am

Cautiously pessimistic

Badge Legend

Patreon Supporter Patreon Supporter   Registered On Day 1 Registered On Day 1   Published Post Published Post  Published Post Nostradumbass
Comment Up Votes 200 Up Votes   Comment Up Votes 500 Up Votes    1,000 Up Votes    3,000+ Up Votes

Comments 50 Comments   Comments 100 Comments    250 Comments    500 Comments    1000+ Comments