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Kings vs. Heat Preview & Predictions: Keep it Rollin’

The Kings had a great win in Los Angeles last night but now they're right back in action at home to take on the Miami Heat.
By | 16 Comments | Feb 26, 2024

Jan 31, 2024; Miami, Florida, USA; Sacramento Kings forward Domantas Sabonis (10) controls the basketball against the Miami Heat during the second quarter at Kaseya Center. Mandatory Credit: Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

The Kings have won three straight and will look to make it four tonight as they take on the Miami Heat.  This is the first of seven back to backs the Kings will have in their final 26 games so hopefully the Kings can take advantage of Miami being shorthanded and a little energy boost from the home crowd to keep their winning streak going.

Let’s talk Kings basketball!

When: Monday, February 26th, 7:00 PM PT
Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA
TV: NBA TV, NBC Sports California
Radio: Sactown Sports 1140

Last Time

The Kings last faced Miami as the Heat were in the midst of a season-high seven game losing streak.  The Heat responded by beating the Kings 115-106 behind 31 points from Jimmy Butler and 24 points from Josh Richardson off the bench.  Keegan Murray led the way for the Kings with a game-high 33 points.

Three in the Key

Too Heated

The Heat will be a bit shorthanded tonight and not necessarily just because of injury.  Josh Richardson and Terry Rozier are out due to injury, but Jimmy Butler, Nikola Jovic and Thomas Bryant will be missing tonight’s game due to a league suspension for a fracas in their last game against the New Orleans Pelicans.  You’d think this would be a good thing for the Kings, but as all Kings fans know, a team missing its best player is our Achilles Heel.  Hopefully the refocused, post-All-Star break Kings can shake that curse and just take care of business at home. Miami still has plenty of weapons, and Erik Spoelstra-led teams always play hard.

Defensive Intensity

The Kings are coming off one of their best wins of the season last night, and defense played a big part.  The Clippers scored just 107 points, shot just 29.6% from distance and turned the ball over 15 times. De’Aaron Fox in particular was playing with phenomenal defensive effort and intensity at the point of attack and set the tone for the team in the final quarter.  We’ve seen the Kings have good games on the defensive end here and there but they’ve yet to string it together for long stretches.  Hopefully last night wasn’t just a one-off.

Aggressive Fox

It’s been really nice seeing De’Aaron Fox return to form of late.  The All-Star break looks to be just what he needed because since coming back (and even a couple games before), he’s looked like the StarFox we all know and love that can take over games by himself.  The Kings are hard to beat when Fox has it going and he’s been bringing it on both ends lately.  In his last four games he’s been averaging 32.8 points on 51.5% from the field to go with 7 rebounds, 7.5 assists and 2.5 steals.  The steals number has been going up all season too, and he’s now 2nd in the league in total steals and steals per game behind only Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, more than earning his “Swipa” nickname.

Prediction

Jamie Jacquez and Tyler Herro do their best, but without Kings killer Josh Richardson to provide a boost, the Kings take care of business on their home floor and keep streaking to gain an inch of separation on the rest of their Western Conference counterparts in the playoff race.

Kings 126, Heat 113

Fan Predictions

Link to Leaderboard (Updated 2/21/24)

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Jman1949
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February 26, 2024 10:18 am

Even though the Heat’s outlook seemed bleak,
In Miami our effort was weak.
With three guys suspended,
They can be upended.
This time let’s extend our win streak!

Jman1949
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February 26, 2024 10:31 am
Reply to  Jman1949

*1 Not tonight!

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Hobby916
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February 26, 2024 12:25 pm
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OLDBHOY
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February 26, 2024 10:45 am

PLEASE DON’T FALL FOR IT

its-a-trap
eddie41
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February 26, 2024 10:49 am

with Butler suspended, I think Jaquez will fill his role. I like the matchup with Keegan and Jaquez. both cool young players. did that summer league matchup start something? ….

BeTheBall
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February 26, 2024 2:59 pm
Reply to  eddie41

JJJ is by far my favorite player from this past draft. I dream that one day he’ll be wearing purple.

Klam
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Nostradumbass 18
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February 26, 2024 10:49 am

Don’t care that tonight is a back to back. If these guys are capable of beating Denver on the SEGABABA on the road, then they don’t have any excuse to lose at home against a team that is missing players. If they’re serious about wanting to avoid the play-in, capitalize on teams missing players and take care of business at home

Kfan
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February 26, 2024 11:09 am
Reply to  Klam

We’ve won 4 SEGABABA’s in a row and all 4 so far in 2024.

Keep the streak alive!

Klam
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February 26, 2024 1:06 pm
Reply to  Kfan

That’s a pretty wild stat. Didn’t even realizer we’d won four in a row.

andy_sims
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February 26, 2024 11:44 am

Before the game, someone needs to whisper to Fox that Tyler Herro said something awful about his mother. Angry Fox is more powerful than ten hurricanes and any four deities of your choice.

Just looked at the leaderboard for the first time in forever. My PPG is better than any of the forty-eight people ahead of me, but I forget to make guesses for too many games.

And now, changing subjects completely, there should be some consideration for the best PPG average, with a minimum games threshold.

“That’s a great idea, sims!”

Thank you, a lot of people are saying that.

Hobby916
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February 26, 2024 12:28 pm
Reply to  andy_sims

I heard Herro say he was the best Kentucky guard in the league…pass that to Fox, lol

andy_sims
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February 26, 2024 4:01 pm
Reply to  Hobby916

Fox would just laugh for twenty minutes and then be too tired to play.

DutchKingsFanInUK
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February 26, 2024 1:03 pm

Star Wars GIF - Find & Share on GIPHY

UpgradedToQuestionable
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February 26, 2024 1:06 pm

Nice to label that donnybrook in The Big Easy as a fracas.

One of my favorite matchups: Edrice Femi Adebayo vs. Domantas Sabonis. Bam vs. The Ox. They represent, in my mind, different sides of the same coin.

Within a year of age, they are both “undersized” 5s who play balls to the wall style basketball. Effort, energy and smarts allow them to overcome their limitations. Both are 3 time All-Stars. Where Domas is the stronger on offense, with his assists and scoring, Bam gives his best on defense. I am looking forward to seeing them battle it out tonight (I’m going to this one with Ms. UTG).

What a Wildcat team! John Calipari’s 2016-17 U of Kentucky squad had:
De’Aaron Fox, Malik Monk, Bam Adebayo, Wenyen Gabrial, Hamidou Diallo – all Freshman. That’s enough to make you want to /shaka!

RobHessing
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February 26, 2024 3:29 pm

Heat have posted home and road winning records this season without Butler, and they have posted home and road winning records without Herro.

Unless Spoelstra takes the night off, I am counting no chickens until they are hatched.

RowJimmy
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February 26, 2024 6:56 pm

Even though the KINGS lost the first quarter they kept the Clips under 30 each quarter whilst dishing out 29 assists. Good recipe for success. Bracing for a Duncan Robinson career high tonight. Big D prove my angst wrong. Go Kings!

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