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Kings vs. Grizzlies Preview and Predictions: Beaming in the New Year

The Kings look to light one last beam in 2023 to ring in the New Year.
By | 32 Comments | Dec 31, 2023

Jan 23, 2023; Sacramento, California, USA; Sacramento Kings forward Keegan Murray (13) dribbles past Memphis Grizzlies forward Ziaire Williams (8) in the second quarter at the Golden 1 Center. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

2023 has been an amazing year for Kings basketball, but the Kings have one last stop to make in Memphis before they can move on to 2024 and hopefully an even brighter future.

Let’s talk Kings basketball!

When: Sunday, December 31st, 5 PM PT
Where: FedEx Forum, Memphis, TN
TV: NBC Sports California
Radio: Sactown Sports 1140

Last Time

This is Sacramento’s first meeting with Memphis this season.  Last year these teams split the season series at two apiece, with both teams winning once on each others home floors.  However, the last time the Kings played against the Grizzlies to end a year, this happened:

Three in the Key

Wounded Bear

The Grizzlies are pretty hobbled and have been from the get go.  Steven Adams is out for the season already, Brandon Clarke has yet to make his season debut and Luke Kennard, John Konchar and Derrick Rose are all listed as questionable for tonight’s game.  These injuries as well as Ja Morant’s 25 game suspension to start the season are a big reason the Grizzlies sit at 10-21, but with Ja back since December 19th, the Grizzlies at least have their claws back.  The Grizzlies won their first four games in a row in Ja’s return, but have lost their last two.  Still, this Grizzlies team is far more dangerous than their record implies, and they’ll be desperate to make up for lost time to try get back into the Play-In/Playoff mix.

Offensive Offense

The Grizzlies hold the worst offensive rating in the entire NBA throughout this season and that’s not something that even Ja’s return has helped that much.  In the six games since Ja’s return, the Grizzlies have only put together a better offense than the Spurs and Hornets.  Memphis’ shooting efficiency has been among the worst in the entire NBA.  They rank second to last in 3P% at just 33.3% a game, 28th in 2P% at 51.9% and dead last in overall FG% at .439.  Their only regular rotation player who is shooting well from distance is Desmond Bane who is making 38.4% of his threes on 9 attempts a game. Ja has only shot 12% from three in his return.  Ja does help Memphis ability to get to the basket however, and he is leading the team in scoring already, averaging 26.8 points a game.  But with Memphis’ overall lack of shooting if the Kings can keep them out of the paint, they have a good chance to stymie an already weak offensive attack.

Paint Attack

One of the few things Memphis does well is keep opponents from scoring in the paint.  They rank 2nd in the league in opponent paint points at just 45 a game, and their overall defensive rating is still top 10.  A big part of that is thank to reigning defensive player of the year Jaren Jackson Jr., but the Grizzlies also have guys like Bismack Biyombo to patrol the paint, and Marcus Smart to keep guys out of it at all.  Still, the Kings can’t just settle for threes the entire game, they’ll have to find a way to open the Grizzlies up and get to the basket.

Prediction

De’Aaron Fox outbattles Ja Morant as the Kings end the Year of the Beam on a high note.

Kings 119, Grizzlies 110

Fan Predictions

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Hobby916
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December 31, 2023 10:20 am

Bad offensive opponent, so they probably put 130 on the Kings, lol.

I predict a win. No way they come out in embarrassing fashion like the start of the Hawks game.

Jman1949
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December 31, 2023 10:39 am

We missed out while Ja was suspended—
Memphis surged once that was ended.
Though he’s cleared by the league,
Still creates weird intrigue.
Come back home; leave the Grizzlies upended!

Jman1949
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December 31, 2023 10:40 am
Reply to  Jman1949

+1 Beat Ja to the draw!

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Amonk81
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December 31, 2023 10:55 am

Kings gotta make moves in 2024. Hopefully Trey amd Keegan can get more consistent on the Offensive end.

But Huerter and Barnes gotta be replaced in the starting lineup or at least show up more often than 1 in 10 games.

Hamlet1989
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December 31, 2023 11:02 am
Reply to  Amonk81

I’ve still kinda got Atlanta on the brain.

Question: would you trade Huerter/Davion for D. Hunter, and our pick back?

Hobby916
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December 31, 2023 12:25 pm
Reply to  Hamlet1989

Not sure Atlanta would want Huerter back.

Adamsite
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Nostradumbass 14
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December 31, 2023 12:26 pm
Reply to  Hamlet1989

ATL would LOL then hang up the phone.

Hamlet1989
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December 31, 2023 2:28 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

I’m assuming Hunter’s contract is a negative asset currently. They need to open a spot for J. Johnson. Another low 1st shouldn’t appeal to them much. Davion could be a nice compliment to Young, or even a replacement should they chose to move off Young’s contract. Huerter adds more shooting, (which they need) and an option at 2 if they decide to trigger any of the rumored trades surrounding Murray.
I’m not sure either side would do it, but what are you saying Hunter is worth? You could ask for a 2nd instead, it wouldn’t be a lot different. As much as I would like to see them move off Huerter’s money, I don’t think he’s overpaid. Of course, it could be Barnes, but I couldn’t see that w/o a 3rd team.
I guess the big ask is: should the Kings be interested if Hunter is available? and for me that is a tough one to answer. He’s never performed to the level of his current contract.

Jack
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December 31, 2023 2:33 pm
Reply to  Hamlet1989

I like Bey better.

Hamlet1989
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December 31, 2023 3:54 pm
Reply to  Jack

Many people do because he’s almost the same player for a fraction of the price. Hunter’s stats are the best of his career this season, making them slightly better than H Barnes. I think someone is over-valuing him a bit. Atl has been also quite lukewarm on his performance, and that’s not to mention his injury history.

Hamlet1989
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December 31, 2023 2:33 pm
Reply to  Hamlet1989

Oh yeah. That deal also saves them over $40m. which could appeal to them, as well.

Adamsite
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Nostradumbass 14
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December 31, 2023 2:47 pm
Reply to  Hamlet1989

I don’t see Huerter’s deal as a negative asset. Sure, he’s in a slump, but his contract is very good by NBA standards and he’s still very young. I’d imagine NBA brass would look to his career averages rather than the past 20+ games. From that, Huerter is likely worth more than Barnes.

ATL also has a ton of money wrapped up in Young, Murray, and Bogi. I don’t see them wanting another guard in Huerter.

Lastly, I don’t see them moving Hunter. They moved Collins to make room for Hunter and Johnson in the rotation. Both are young, shooting 40% from three, and play both ways. Kings probably have a better shot at Bey or Griffin, both of whom would cost far less.

Amonk81
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December 31, 2023 2:48 pm
Reply to  Hamlet1989

I don’t know enough about Hunter

Adamsite
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Nostradumbass 14
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December 31, 2023 3:11 pm
Reply to  Amonk81

6’8″ wing who shoots 40% from three rebounds at an average rate who is 26 years old and makes $20M per year. He’s an older version of Keegan.

Amonk81
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December 31, 2023 5:00 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

That sounds good to me but why would ATL do it?

Amonk81
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December 31, 2023 5:01 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

Most importantly, can he defend ?

Hamlet1989
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December 31, 2023 10:58 am

I can hardly imagine Santa bringing Kings fans a better present than a reliable 3pt shot for Fox!
Good things to come in ’24!
Merry Christmas! (belatedly) Happy New Year! to all!

Klam
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December 31, 2023 11:34 am

Instead of being social or going out for New Year’s Eve stuff, I think I’ll just stay home and watch this Kings game. 🙂

Hamlet1989
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December 31, 2023 11:37 am
Reply to  Klam

Good thinking

Hobby916
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December 31, 2023 12:24 pm
Reply to  Klam

Social and going out is overrated.

Adamsite
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Nostradumbass 14
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December 31, 2023 12:47 pm

So if Huerter sits tonight (or maybe if he is even healthy) I’d start Ellis or Davion and put them on Ja. Memphis thrives by having Ja blow by his defender at the POA and getting into the paint. This could be a chance for Davion to get his mojo back by taking on Ja. If he can slow Ja down, the Kings should win this one with ease.

Hobby916
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December 31, 2023 12:54 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

My guess is they would use Duarte to start.

UpgradedToQuestionable
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December 31, 2023 1:37 pm
Reply to  Hobby916

Don’t sleep on Desmond Bane. Dude is a flat out scorer.

(no doubt he’s lumpy and it’s difficult to get decent rest)

Adamsite
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Nostradumbass 14
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December 31, 2023 1:41 pm

I’d put Keegan on him, Fox on Smart and Barnes on JJJ.

Adamsite
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December 31, 2023 1:40 pm
Reply to  Hobby916

You are probably right, and I think it would be the wrong decision by Brown. Duarte has proven nothing on the defensive end.

Hamlet1989
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December 31, 2023 2:36 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

Effort?

Adamsite
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Nostradumbass 14
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December 31, 2023 3:15 pm

Huerter is playing.

Klam
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December 31, 2023 3:23 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

Let’s hope he can make his shots tonight.

Hamlet1989
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December 31, 2023 4:18 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

As much as I’m not sold on Huerter, I have actually been impressed with his willingness to apply himself in other aspects of the game, even if the results haven’t always been great.

RikSmits
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December 31, 2023 3:35 pm

Happy New Year from Amsterdam, fellow Kings fans.

Sacto_J
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December 31, 2023 4:58 pm
Reply to  RikSmits

Proost!

Hamlet1989
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December 31, 2023 4:41 pm

Duarte with the start!

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