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NBA Draft Lottery 2024 Schedule, Odds, and More

The Kings are unlikely to move up in this one.
By | 26 Comments | May 12, 2024

May 16, 2023; Chicago, IL, USA; People walk past the 2023 NBA Draft Lottery board at McCormick Place West. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

The 2024 NBA Draft Lottery will be held today at 12:00 PM PT. The Draft will air on ABC, and will likely include about 45 minutes of chatter before the lottery results are actually revealed.

The Sacramento Kings will be represented on the telecast by Keegan Murray, according to James Ham:

The Kings have just a 0.8% chance at the top pick, and a 3.8% chance at landing in the top 4. For a full breakdown of the odds, my go-to site is Tankathon. Once the broadcast begins revealing the draft order, we’ll know very quickly if the Kings have moved up. If the Kings are announced first, it means the Golden State Warriors moved up from 14. If the Warriors are announced first and any other team is announced next, it means the Kings have moved up.

Prior to the lottery, I always like to give the Tankathon simulator a single spin and see where the Kings land. In my official spin for this year, the Kings stayed at 13, the Spurs lept to the first overall pick, with Portland and Memphis also moving up, while Detroit and Washington both slid to 5th and 6th, respectively. Feel free to give it a spin and share your result in the comments below.

This will also serve as the open thread for the lottery telecast, and we’ll have a new article up with the results.

 

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HongKongKingsFan
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May 12, 2024 8:11 am

Breaking News:

We are landing the 1st pick !!!!!!!!

TheGrantNapear
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May 12, 2024 12:40 pm

Funny?

UpgradedToQuestionable
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May 12, 2024 8:15 am

As this NBA Draft 2024 is seen as a particularly weak draft for star talent, though “deep” I am of the firm belief that this increases Sacramento’s chance of besting the odds and moving up, a là Pervis Ellison, the 1989 draft 35 years ago on June 27 (this year the draft will be two days, June 26 and 27)

I also believe that no matter the result, whether 14, 13, 1,2,3,4 this will be a bargaining chip for upgrading the roster via trade. The value is there, today determines just how much.

Last edited 2 months ago by UpgradedToQuestionable
Adamsite
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Nostradumbass 14
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Nostradumbass 14
May 12, 2024 8:54 am

I agree the the pick is trade fodder, unless by some miracle they move up. The team just doesn’t have the roster space at the moment to add fringe/unknown talent of a late lottery pick. I see it being shipped to a tax paying contender who needs a cheap warm body who is also looking to cut salary. FWIW, the #13 rookie scale begins $3.9M next season, which is about $1M more than a vet minimum deal.

Teams I’m hoping Monte rings up to dangle the #13 and players: Bucks (Portis), Minny (Reid), Nuggets (Gordon), Lakers (Rui)

I wouldn’t rule out some rebuilding teams looking for another lottery pick Wiz (Kuzma), PDX (Grant), Spurs (K. Johnson,Collins)

TheGrantNapear
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May 12, 2024 11:20 am
Reply to  Adamsite

Yes to all those players mentioned except for Rui, he sucks. Also don’t see why the Nugs would trade Gordon.

Adamsite
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Nostradumbass 14
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Nostradumbass 14
May 12, 2024 11:31 am
Reply to  TheGrantNapear

Nuggets are entering into the 2nd apron of the tax (along with Boston and PHX) and are a near lock to give Murray an extension this summer. If Minny takes them out it will interesting to see if they continue to spend far above he 2nd apron. Keep in mind new 2nd apron penalties kick into gear this summer, and they are significant.

SuperShaka
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May 12, 2024 12:03 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

Milwaukee already has two top 33 picks. I doubt they’ll look to add multiple rookies since Doc Rivers is notorious for not giving young players minutes.

Hobby916
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May 12, 2024 8:26 am

Moving up in the draft is always a good thing. If the Kings do land the top pick, does Keegan crack a smile?

UpgradedToQuestionable
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May 12, 2024 9:36 am
Reply to  Hobby916

What if Portland sends Kris?

Sacto_J
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May 12, 2024 10:17 am

I simmed the lottery 82 times this morning and only once did the Kings end up in a different position than 13th, and that was at 14th.
So obviously they’re moving up.

Hobby916
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May 12, 2024 10:57 am
Reply to  Sacto_J

On my 3rd time the Kings went to #1!!!!

kgdobter
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May 12, 2024 11:54 am
Reply to  Hobby916

The Kings should send you to the draft.

Hobby916
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May 12, 2024 11:11 am
Reply to  Greg

Still too long.

TheGrantNapear
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May 12, 2024 11:21 am
Reply to  Hobby916

The talking heads have to do what talking heads do. Mute it the same way a lot of fans mute our announcing team.

Hobby916
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May 12, 2024 11:44 am
Reply to  TheGrantNapear

Oh, I do.

TheGrantNapear
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May 12, 2024 11:22 am

If we miraculously landed the first pick, boy what a trade chip it would be even in a weak draft.

Adamsite
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Nostradumbass 14
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May 12, 2024 11:47 am
Reply to  Greg

This. The #1 pick is guaranteed over $30M over 3 years, while the #13 is guaranteed around $12M over 3 years. Is the #1 pick in this draft worth near triple to a player taken late in the lottery?

An interesting wrinkle is that Memphis is projected to be in the 1st tax apron next season. Moving up in the draft may actually hurt them financially. I wouldn’t be surprised if they trade down because of it.

RikSmits
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May 12, 2024 12:20 pm
Reply to  Greg

This isn’t a exact science. Some GM’s might think there’s a clear no. 1 with star power.

UpgradedToQuestionable
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May 12, 2024 12:26 pm
Reply to  RikSmits

Markelle Fultz nods in agreement

Hobby916
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May 12, 2024 11:45 am
Reply to  TheGrantNapear

Just draft Sarr and move on.

RikSmits
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May 12, 2024 12:23 pm

Thanks, Keegan.

Hobby916
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May 12, 2024 12:24 pm
Reply to  RikSmits

comment image

UpgradedToQuestionable
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May 12, 2024 2:36 pm
Reply to  Hobby916

And his jersey number?

Hobby916
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May 12, 2024 3:39 pm

It was a sign!

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