The Kings have failed to select in the Top 3 since 1991, when they selected Billy Owens and traded him for Mitch Richmond. The last three years, the Kings have been slotted at 1, 3, and 5 prior to the lottery, and ended up falling to 4, 5, and 7 respectively. Theoretically, the Kings have had a 45.5% combined chance in the past three years to land in the Top 3, and have failed each time. The odds of them landing where they have are about 23.9%. So in a sense, the Kings have beaten the odds!

It seems likely the Kings will land somewhere in the 3-5 range. Here are the (theoretical) odds for each: