He's a good scorer
He's an inefficient shooter
The problem with those 17 points per 36 minutes is that they came on rather poor shooting: 45 percent on two-pointers, 32 percent on threes, .457 effective field goal percentage, .503 True Shooting. (The big True Shooting boost comes from those free throws, which he hit at a 70 percent clip.) The three-point shooting number doesn't look great, but he was actually more efficient per shot on those than on two-pointers. (The effective field goal percentage on 32 percent shooting on three-pointers is about .480. Shooting 45 percent on twos gives you an effective field goal percentage of .450.)
The big problem with those two-pointers is how many of them came outside the rim area and how many of those clanked. NBA.com/stats won't let me break out his shooting only in starts, but here's what the 2012-13 shot chart looks like.
He's a good rebounder
At small forward, he's an excellent rebounder. At power forward, he's a good rebounder. As a starter last season he averaged eight rebounds per 36 minutes, and his full-season (bench and all) defensive rebound rate was a solid 20 percent. Rebounding matters! He's good at it.
His other stats are low
He offered up less than one assist, steal and block per 36 minutes last season, and had just over one turnover per 36. (His turnover rate is really quite low, but not as low as his assist rate.) He's a prototypical forward in that sense: score and rebound and maybe defend.
His defense is a mystery but probably not the good kind
(I should note that I think Patterson has defended rather well lately. I've been pleasantly surprised.)
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I think Williams can be a solid starter in the NBA if he improves his defense and outside shot, and has more discretion with the ball in the mid-range. Williams is really athletic for his size; if he puts in the effort he could better quickly on defense. Let's hope Malone has some strong influence there. As for the shooting, we need you, Chris Jent. We need you bad.
Of course, if Williams doesn't improve on those items, he's going to be a back-up at best, the next Jason Thompson on a team that doesn't really need another Jason Thompson.
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