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Kings vs. Cavaliers Preview: Giants in the City of Trees

The Kings are going to have their hands full with what might be the best Cavaliers team ever.
By | 52 Comments | Mar 19, 2025

Nov 13, 2023; Sacramento, California, USA; Sacramento Kings guard Malik Monk (0) dribbles past Cleveland Cavaliers guard Donovan Mitchell (45) in the fourth quarter at the Golden 1 Center. Mandatory Credit: Cary Edmondson-USA TODAY Sports

The Kings managed to stem the bleeding by knocking off the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday, but tonight they’ll face an even tougher task in a Cleveland Cavaliers team that is currently tied for the best record in the NBA.  The Cavs are on the second night of a back to back, but the Kings will be without Domantas Sabonis, so both teams are facing their own challenges coming into this one. Let’s talk Kings basketball!

When: Wednesday, March 19th, 7:00 PM PT Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, CA TV: NBC Sports California RadioSactown Sports 1140 AM

For Your Consideration

The Cleveland Cavaliers are having a remarkable season.  They’re on pace for 67 wins, which would be the most in franchise history.  They’re doing it on the backs of one of the best offenses in NBA history (1st in the league this year), and a top-10 defense.  Kenny Atkinson has transformed this team offensively, as pretty much the same roster was only 18th in offense last season.  They shoot a ton of threes (41.3 a game) and make them at the league’s highest rate (38.7%).  They’re also the most efficient 2P% team at 58.1%.  Donovan Mitchell is leading the way scoring wise at 24.1 points a game, but he has plenty of help as five of his teammates also average double digit scoring.  Evan Mobley has also taken a leap, averaging a career-high 18.6 points and shooting 36.5% from three on 3 attempts a game while playing Defensive Player of the Year level defense.  Mobley is part of a twin towers lineup with Jarrett Allen as well, who is leading the league in FG% at 70.1% while averaging a 13.6 point, 10.2 rebound double-double in just 28.7 minutes a game. The Cavs got even better at the deadline when they acquired De’Andre Hunter from the Hawks, and Hunter has been averaging 14.3 points on 49.6% from the field and 48.6% from three in 15 games off the bench with Cleveland.  This is a Cavs team that is legitimately 10 deep and extremely dangerous from all over the court almost regardless of who is playing.  The only regular rotation player they have who isn’t a legitimate threat to be an outside shooter is Jarrett Allen.  Cleveland has 5 rotation players making 40% or more of their threes, and 12 making at least 37% (with Mobley just on the outside at 36.5%).  That’s not ideal news for a Kings team that has struggled to defend the three this season, last in 3P% defense at 38.3% a game. The Kings managed to do a decent job of keeping Memphis from shooting too many threes on Monday, limiting them to just 30 attempts, and even then it was mostly just Desmond Bane being 7-7 that was truly damaging.  But for Cleveland the three ball is a huge part of their identity, and the Kings will need to be extra focused on their man tonight to not give the Cavaliers too many easy, open looks which is easier said than done. Sacramento will once again be without Domantas Sabonis, now out with an ankle injury he suffered against Memphis.  Cleveland would have been one of the few matchups where it might have made sense for the Kings to play Sabonis and Jonas Valanciunas together to try to combat some of their size, but now that option is off the table and the Kings will likely be at a size advantage for most of the game.  Ideally the Kings would be putting Keegan Murray on Donovan Mitchell, but they’ll probably have to put him on Mobley instead as he’s simply way too big for someone like DeMar DeRozan to guard.  That doesn’t leave a lot of great options to guard Mitchell or Darius Garland, at least in the starting lineup.  The Kings might need to work in Keon Ellis and Jake LaRavia into the rotation a bit earlier and more often tonight. Malik Monk was a big part of Monday’s win, scoring 28 points on 10-17 from the field to go with 7 assists. It was nice to see Monk have a good game as he’s been in a bit of a slump over the last month or so.  The Kings need Monk to be playing at his best to have a chance going forward.  He’s been particularly bad from three this season, shooting just 31.8% from distance, his worst percentage since he was in Charlotte and second-worst of his career.  Hopefully Monday’s performance gave him some momentum that will let him finish the season strong. This is going to be an extremely tough matchup, but I would have said the same the last couple of years as well given that Cleveland has always been huge, but the Kings have actually gone 3-1 against the Cavs over the last two seasons.  A win tonight would be one of the best of the season, and would give the Kings some momentum heading into their own back to back tomorrow night. Prediction The Kings and Cavs threaten to break regular season scoring records in a barnburner.  Donovan Mitchell and Zach LaVine both score over 40 points. Kings 151, Cavaliers 146

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Kfan
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March 19, 2025 10:26 am

Bring the effort on both ends of the floor, protect the ball and hit your open shots.

Go Kings!

RobHessing
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March 19, 2025 11:22 am

And so begins the Terry Taylor era.

RPO
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RPO
March 19, 2025 1:25 pm
Reply to  RobHessing

Our savior! (of Vivek’s money)

RobHessing
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March 19, 2025 1:30 pm
Reply to  RPO

I know that we said that we needed to tailor the roster, so maybe the org. just misunderstood.

RPO
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RPO
March 19, 2025 4:04 pm
Reply to  RobHessing

Maybe Vivek thought he was getting Terry Tyler, seeing how far back he could milk fans’ affection for former Kings players.

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March 19, 2025 4:21 pm
Reply to  RPO

Or maybe they thought they were signing Terry Thomas, to fill in the gap in the roster.
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RobHessing
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March 19, 2025 4:45 pm

I always wondered if he was related to Conrad Pooh.
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Hippity_Hop_Barbershop
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March 19, 2025 11:40 am

Cavs on a road b2b after a loss to the Clips last night. Now is the time. The time is now.

Jman1949
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March 19, 2025 11:43 am

The Cavs in the East have no peer;
All year their play’s been top-tier.
There’s no sense to pretend
How this likely will end.
Just hope for some reason to cheer!

Jman1949
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March 19, 2025 11:45 am
Reply to  Jman1949

+1 Will the beam get lit tonight?
comment image&ct=g

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March 19, 2025 4:23 pm
Reply to  Jman1949

Hopefully, Sacramento can find the dawg in themselves
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(Cavalier King Charles Spaniel)

Jman1949
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March 19, 2025 5:21 pm

Since we’ll be short-handed and they’re on a back-to-back, maybe some of the Cavaliers will sit.
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ajonez81
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March 19, 2025 11:52 am

Crazy how a good coach can make all the difference, I remember writers on TKH saying Atkinson was a legit potential coaching candidate for the Kings a few years ago.

Kfan
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March 19, 2025 12:29 pm
Reply to  ajonez81

And sometimes it’s just fit and/or a new voice. J.B. Bickerstaff has done great with DET this year.

Hippity_Hop_Barbershop
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March 19, 2025 12:44 pm
Reply to  Kfan

I heard he bickers with the staff a lot though.

Hobby916
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March 19, 2025 12:55 pm

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Kfan
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March 19, 2025 1:23 pm
Reply to  Hobby916

Thanks Vlade

RobHessing
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March 19, 2025 1:40 pm
Reply to  Kfan

They’re not booing, they’re saying Luuu…

Nope. Yep. They’re booing.

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March 19, 2025 4:27 pm
Reply to  RobHessing

IIRC, Kenny Atkinson, working on the Warriors staff (with Kerr and Mike Brown), gave the Vivek Kings a flat not interested response.

Seems like a pretty smart guy to me (though he may be available soon – he’s the odds on favorite for CoY and as Rik_Smits has reminded us, that is an award and a curse)

Greg
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March 19, 2025 7:01 pm
Reply to  ajonez81

Yeah but what do those jerks know

TerzoM
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March 19, 2025 1:00 pm

March Madness prediction?
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Hobby916
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March 19, 2025 1:04 pm

I don’t see this ending well for the Kings. I am expecting the Kings to be down big by the half. A great 3pt shooting team that has size in the frontcourt and a good bench? Recipe for disaster in SacraKangzo.

TerzoM
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March 19, 2025 3:24 pm
Reply to  Hobby916

Get ready for Game thread 100 comments, Postgame 200, Recap 300
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Hobby916
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March 19, 2025 4:34 pm
Reply to  TerzoM

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RobHessing
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March 19, 2025 1:19 pm

Kings vs. Cavaliers Preview: Giants in the City of Trees

Given that we have given up 537 more points than we have scored beyond the arc this year, I wonder if opponents know our town as the City of Threes.

Last edited 2 months ago by RobHessing
Kfan
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March 19, 2025 1:27 pm
Reply to  RobHessing

I thought Giants in the City of Trees was not until the 4th of July

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RobHessing
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March 19, 2025 1:28 pm
Reply to  RobHessing

This is an amazing, singular stat. The Kings are -8 per game from the arc, while having an overall point differential of +0.9. Imagine if this team was just average at shooting or defending the three. The league average is around 36%. The Kings convert at 35% and give up threes at over 38%(!). Bring both to 36% and that -8 becomes -2.8. That is cavernous.

The modern NBA is more about the 3 pointer than anything else. And we can’t make ’em. Or defend ’em.

Adamsite
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Nostradumbass 14
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March 19, 2025 1:35 pm
Reply to  RobHessing

The modern NBA is more about the 3 pointer than anything else. And we can’t make ’em. Or defend ’em.

That’s a really good argument for adding Keon to the starting group in place of Monk or DDR.

RobHessing
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March 19, 2025 1:43 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

Monk is now down to 31.8%. That is sub-Fox.

RobHessing
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March 19, 2025 1:46 pm
Reply to  RobHessing

And among the current core, Monk is 2nd in attempts (0.3 per game behind LaVine) but 8th in conversion rate (behind LaVine, Ellis, Domas, LaRavia, DeRozan, Lyles and Murray).

TerzoM
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March 19, 2025 1:50 pm
Reply to  RobHessing

Is there a stat for step-back-3s? From eye test those mostly clangs out

Greg
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March 19, 2025 3:31 pm
Reply to  TerzoM

Looking at some splits from the last 15 games, not a perfect sample for post-Fox, but pretty close and relatively easy to pull. In the last 15 games Monk has gone 22/79 from 3, 27.8%.

On step back threes he’s 4/13, 30.8%.

The biggest thing that stands out if I compare those numbers to his Pre-All Star splits is that 73 of his 79 threes are Above the Break, where he’s shot 28.8%. Pre All Star he also had the majority of his threes above the break (282 of 326) and also shot poorly (29.4%), but he doesn’t have the boost he previously got from corner threes. Pre-AS break Monk was 13/26 (50%) on Left Corner 3s and 10/17 (58.8%) on Right Corner Threes. Those corner threes were still a small part of his overall usage, but they brought his overall percentages up (even though his shooting has been pretty bad all season). As the primary creator, Monk has even fewer opportunity to take kick-to-corner-threes like he did before.

By the way, these trends hold up for last two seasons as well. He mostly shoots above the break threes, despite shooting way better from the corners. He just made more of these shots in years past.

Greg
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March 19, 2025 3:46 pm
Reply to  Greg

A final note because I was curious. 6 of 79 threes works out to 7.5% of his three point attempts being corner threes over the last 15 games. Over the last 3 seasons it’s normally been about 15%, but they’ve had a big impact on his 3P%. 44.13% on corner threes the last 3 seasons.

Man, it feels like someone should be scheming to get Monk more looks at corner threes.

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March 19, 2025 4:38 pm
Reply to  Greg

I am sure that my Kangz bias is strongly at work – it sure seems that that Sac gives up more corner 3s than any other team, and certainly, opponents seem to take a multiplier of corner 3s over Sacramento’s attempts (just thinking about the Warriors game from last week has me cringing all over again).

I always wonder, how my butt on the couch can see this problem but none of the 6 or 7 coaches on the sidelines can not. Maybe they see it but have not figured out how to minimize it. I will tell you through my own coaching experience, that yelling at the TV absolutely does not work!

TerzoM
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March 19, 2025 5:35 pm
Reply to  Greg

Thanks for the stats Greg! Interesting numbers

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March 19, 2025 4:30 pm
Reply to  TerzoM

add a four flat (a typical Monk end of a quarter scenario) and I bet the number goes down even further.

Kfan
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March 19, 2025 3:39 pm

No Zach tonight.

According to the NBA’s injury report, Zach LaVine (personal reasons) has joined Domantas Sabonis as out for tonight’s game against the Cavs. Jake LaRavia is questionable due to illness.

James Ham (@jameshamnba.bsky.social) 2025-03-19T22:38:29.773Z

Last edited 2 months ago by Kfan
Greg
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March 19, 2025 3:42 pm
Reply to  Kfan

Ouch. At least Keon should get more minutes.

Adamsite
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Nostradumbass 14
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March 19, 2025 3:46 pm
Reply to  Greg

BREAKING: Terry Taylor to start, Keon to handle out towels.

Greg
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March 19, 2025 3:48 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

legit LOL

RPO
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March 19, 2025 4:04 pm
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Peon Ellis

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Nostradumbass 14
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March 19, 2025 4:25 pm
Reply to  RPO

OMG!

RobHessing
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March 19, 2025 7:08 pm
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Keon Thebench.

Adamsite
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Nostradumbass 14
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March 19, 2025 3:45 pm
Reply to  Kfan

Beat me to it Kfan!

Adamsite
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March 19, 2025 3:44 pm

Game over, man! Game over!

According to the NBA’s injury report, Zach LaVine (personal reasons) has joined Domantas Sabonis as out for tonight’s game against the Cavs. Jake LaRavia is questionable due to illness.

James Ham (@jameshamnba.bsky.social) 2025-03-19T22:38:29.773Z

Kfan
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March 19, 2025 4:03 pm
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March 19, 2025 4:25 pm
Reply to  Kfan

We tag teamed that perfectly. Cheers!

Hobby916
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March 19, 2025 4:38 pm
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TerzoM
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March 19, 2025 4:41 pm
Reply to  Kfan

Great movie!!

Hobby916
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March 19, 2025 4:36 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

The silent tank?

Mike120
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March 19, 2025 7:30 pm

Im here at the game with friends. Not gonna get upset at the result. Already a scheduled loss in my mind.

Kfan
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March 20, 2025 8:52 am
Reply to  Mike120

Nice reverse Jinx!

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