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Sacramento Kings odds breakdown for the 2023 NBA Draft Lottery

We break down Sacramento's chances in the Victor Wembanyama sweepstakes.
By | 61 Comments | May 16, 2023

May 15, 2018; Chicago, IL, USA; Sacramento Kings guard De’Aaron Fox smiles during the 2018 NBA Draft Lottery at the Palmer House Hilton. Mandatory Credit: Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports

0% BECAUSE WE MADE THE PLAYOFFS

 

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andy_sims
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May 16, 2023 11:03 am

And that, as they say, is that.

andy_sims
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May 16, 2023 11:06 am
Reply to  andy_sims

(scarf flip)

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NextTimeGadget
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May 16, 2023 11:05 am

Gonna be weird and fun to watch this without a rooting interest due to making the playoffs. I know there was that one year the Kings didn’t even have a 1st rounder, but that’s different because we still sucked and was managed horribly.

TheGrantNapear
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May 16, 2023 12:16 pm
Reply to  NextTimeGadget

Heavy rooting interest for me, hoping the first pick lands in the East and not the West.

Klam
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May 16, 2023 12:29 pm
Reply to  NextTimeGadget

I’m just glad we don’t have to watch 30 minutes of “talking” before we actually get to the reveal.

Last edited 10 months ago by Klam
RAP87
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May 16, 2023 11:13 am

Man I miss talking about the draft and breaking down prospects. We got used to it for 16 years, that it became a habit for me this time of the year.

Adamsite
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Nostradumbass 14
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May 16, 2023 11:15 am
Reply to  RAP87

Were we already discussing prospects and starting a draft board this time last year? The draft is what, a month away?

RAP87
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May 16, 2023 11:56 am
Reply to  Adamsite

Yup and I’m not quite sure if we’re going to do a big board this year since we’re not in the lottery. But I expect Brenden to maybe start looking at prospects in our range a week or 2 from now so that we can have some content about our draft selection.

Early candidates for me that I want for the Kings would be
-Hood-Schifino (although I’m pretty sure he won’t be available when the Kings make their pick unless they move up via trade).
-GG Jacskon
-Maxwell Lewis
-Noah Clowney
-Jalen Wilson
-Julian Strawther

Want2win
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May 16, 2023 12:37 pm
Reply to  RAP87

I wouldnt mind if Murray dropped.. like Lewis out ofPepperdine, really like Trayce Jackson Davis more than Clowney.. world be mad if Rupert or Couilibaly fell to us

RAP87
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May 16, 2023 2:18 pm
Reply to  Want2win

TJD is a real possibility with our 37th pick if the Kings decide to keep their 2nd round picks. He’s 23 years old and knowing Monte, he doesn’t mind drafting older rookies plus.

jlandweh
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May 16, 2023 1:24 pm
Reply to  RAP87

Agreed. I think my favorite is Noah Clowney…love the possiblity of his defense. I think the Kings would be really happy with GG Jackson, Noah Clowney, or Kris Murray.

With Vazenkov “coming over” would like to get an athletic, defensive Big to come off the bench and help with interior defense and rebounding.

Adamsite
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Nostradumbass 14
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May 16, 2023 1:51 pm
Reply to  RAP87

I’m still on the Bilal Coulibaly train until someone talks me off of it.

jlandweh
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May 16, 2023 2:07 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

Not gonna lie…had to watch him, and man Im glad I did haha. He is a freak athlete that I am 100% ok if the Kings get him. Wow! Some of those clips were insane. Imagine him running the floor with Fox and or cutting with Sabonis’ passing.

I still like Clowney’s shooting stroke with defense…but Bilal is fun. Backup 3,4,5 of Vazenkov, Bilal OR Clowney, Lyles is very versatile. And then sign a physical 5 to replace Len like Reid.

RAP87
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May 16, 2023 2:16 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

Sidy Cissoko or Bilal would be a good get. Not quite sure if they are the “Monte type of pick” but who knows?? This is the first time Monte is picking in the 1st round that is not in the lottery so maybe he change his pattern a little bit and is more open to taking a chance at a project like Sidy or Bilal.

Adamsite
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Nostradumbass 14
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May 16, 2023 3:56 pm
Reply to  RAP87

Monte also hasn’t taken any youngsters. 3 drafts and 3 straight upperclassmen in the lottery. Even his 2nd round picks, with the exception of Jami’us Ramsey were multiple year college players.

RAP87
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May 16, 2023 4:36 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

Yup! That’s why I didn’t include Sidy Cissoko on my list even though I’m quite intrigue with what he can bring defensively and could be a potential Barnes replacement in a couple of years.

UpgradedToQuestionable
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May 16, 2023 6:14 pm
Reply to  RAP87

My Hot Take of the Day:
There is a difference in drafting to “get better now” and not.

The draft pick is not going to move the needle for the Kings, upperclassman, one and done, whatever, whomever.

I think he (Monte) trades the pick anyway, but he may just take a flyer on a prospect who floats his boat, even if they are a teen. Maybe one that drops – remember the 2016 draft? You should – the Kings traded out of the #8 spot and went to #13 and #28.

I won’t harm your attitude with telling you who GM Divac drafted at #13 – but I will remind you that Sac drafted #28 (between #27 Pascal Siakam and #29 Dejonte Murray) to pick Skal Labiessiere.

Dejonte Murray was a 19 year old at #29. Geoff Petrie drafted Gerald “Crash” Wallace at #25 who was 19 during the Kings glory years.

My point:
The Kings have an open field without a mandate other than talent acquisition. Picking an upperclassman to contribute sooner than later should no longer be on the agenda.

Last edited 10 months ago by UpgradedToQuestionable
eddie41
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May 16, 2023 7:11 pm
Reply to  RAP87

Cissoko would fill some needs with defense and physicality. He also plays uptempo and moves the ball, which fits. The shot might be okay. He’s young.

there are many other players I like, but the one I do NOT want to draft is Clowney. I was not that impressed with the tape. It was such an uphill climb to build a respectable playoff team that the risk of putting “clown” back in the algorithm is not worth taking.

Some other names that I like include Klintman (who might have a 1st round promise already) and Jalen Slawson. Andre Jackson is worth a look. So is Adamsite’s guy Coulibaly.

lots of intriguing bigs, probably in the 2nd round.

draft and stash candidates: Ousmane N’Dyiaye and Tristan Vucevic. Length and shooting.

murraytant
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May 16, 2023 3:59 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

I do love the guy. Monte may not.

murraytant
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May 16, 2023 3:58 pm
Reply to  RAP87

the 24 is a crap shoot.

any of the 3 internationals might be there- Couliby, Rupert or Cissoko, some unproven big guys- Clowney, Jackson

but Monte likes college guys with production- that category is weak at 24- Colby Jones or Jacquez
I bet he trades it.

RAP87
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May 16, 2023 4:38 pm
Reply to  murraytant

I wouldn’t be surprised if he trades the pick. If he keeps it, I think he sticks with selecting college players who have 2-4 years experience rather than the one and dones type. Jalen Wilson, Julian Strawther and Maxwell Lewis fits that bill.

Jack
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May 16, 2023 5:19 pm
Reply to  murraytant

IMO #24 won’t get anyone close who would help us right now. Why not trade he pick with say Holmes and go for a player that would help now say a backup center to help Sabonis or even a sign and trade with Barnes as a possible chip.

RobHessing
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May 16, 2023 11:28 am
Reply to  RAP87

It is sure different blowing past the projected lottery picks and trying to zero in on the non-lottery guys. Also, my level of faith in this front office has removed a lot of the second guessing, at least for me.

It’s been over fifteen years, but this team is actually more fun to follow when they’re playing!

Adamsite
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May 16, 2023 11:20 am

I don’t know about the rest of you but a want Wemby going East. I don’t want another franchise altering talent in the West. I have to admit, I’ll be a little miffed if the Spurs land him. They’ve had just 5 lottery picks since they got David Robinson #1 in 1987.

If the Spurs get win the lottery, that would be three #1 picks in 7 tries.

TheGrantNapear
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May 16, 2023 12:17 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

Yep, hoping Wemby lands in the East, preferably DET, it’d be nice for that franchise to be relevant again.

cloudyeyes
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May 16, 2023 12:29 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

Hoping he lands in Chicago so I could see him locally along with Bedard.

TheGrantNapear
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May 16, 2023 2:17 pm
Reply to  cloudyeyes

Would be nice for that franchise to be relevant again as well.

Kosta
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May 16, 2023 3:29 pm
Reply to  Adamsite

Robinson
Duncan
Wembanyama

That would just be ridiculous.

Last edited 10 months ago by Kosta
TheGrantNapear
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May 16, 2023 5:43 pm
Reply to  Kosta

This aged well.

Kosta
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May 16, 2023 6:39 pm
Reply to  TheGrantNapear

…holy guacamole!

RobHessing
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May 16, 2023 11:20 am

Pictured below: Akis writing this article –
comment image

Klam
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May 16, 2023 12:10 pm
Reply to  RobHessing

People who saw the article headline forgetting it was just bait:
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NinjaFetus
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May 16, 2023 12:25 pm
Reply to  Klam

Not gonna lie, I thought there was maybe just possibly something I didn’t know about our first rounder this year that could lead to landing in the lottery – not first, but the lottery. Damnit TKH!

JackassCentral916
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May 16, 2023 11:26 am

I love this community.

UpgradedToQuestionable
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May 16, 2023 11:44 am

comment image

SlamsonsRollerskates
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May 16, 2023 12:14 pm

We finally have a 100% chance of staying in our draft slot and not dropping down.

bjax1
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May 16, 2023 12:43 pm

What!!!

I was wondering why the Kings couldn’t win the lotto on Tankathon.

UpgradedToQuestionable
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May 16, 2023 1:46 pm
Reply to  bjax1

oh my goodness – the clicking however many times it would take to have the Kings land the top spot and then keep track of that. Them were the days.
And you can have’em.

Hippity_Hop_Barbershop
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May 16, 2023 1:39 pm

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ArcoThunder
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May 16, 2023 2:56 pm

Here is an opinion with some names to keep in mind. To me, the Kings should be focusing on the forward position in the draft. The youth the team currently has at guard is deep. I have a hard time seeing any SG or PG in this draft in our range getting any minutes on this team next year. Typically top 30 picks get a roster spot and filling one with a SG or PG seems ill advised when you have a forward position that on paper really only projects Keegan Murray as a long term King. Picking at 24 seems like a good strategical position to be focused on selecting the best forward you can get. It’s a player that might be needed after the free agency market works itself out (are we keeping any of Barnes, Lyles, Edwards?). A rookie forward might actually get some minutes this season depending on how things play out and it’s a player that at worst gives you a good option for replacement come the following season, his sophomore season. With that logic in mind, I listed every forward that was ranked as a top 50 selection in a couple different mock drafts.

🟢Gradey Dick SF
KANSAS • FR • 6’8″ / 205 LBS
🟢Kris Murray PF
IOWA • JR • 6’8″ / 220 LBS
🟢Rayan Rupert SF
FRANCE • 6’6″ / 192 LBS
🟢Gregory Jackson PF
SOUTH CAROLINA • FR • 6’9″ / 210 LBS
🟢Brice Sensabaugh SF
OHIO STATE • FR • 6’6″ / 235 LBS
🟢Leonard Miller SF
G LEAGUE IGNITE • 6’9″ / 195 LBS
🟢Dariq Whitehead SF
DUKE • FR • 6’7″ / 220 LBS
🟢Trayce Jackson-Davis PF
INDIANA • JR • 6’9″ / 245 LBS
🟢Bilal Coulibaly SF
FRANCE • 6’6″ / 230 LBS
🟢Emoni Bates (Eastern Michigan, SF, Sophomore)
🟢Dillon Mitchell (Texas, PF, Freshman)
🟢Jett Howard (Michigan, SG/SF, Freshman)
🟢Jalen Wilson (Kansas, SF, Junior)
🟢Julian Strawther (Gonzaga, SF, Junior)
🟢Nikola Durisic (Mega, SG/SF, 2004)
🟢Sidy Cissoko (G League Ignite, SG/SF)
🟢Coleman Hawkins (Illinois, PF/C, Junior)
🟢Jaime Jaquez (UCLA, SF, Senior)
🟢Jordan Walsh (Arkansas, SF, Freshman)
🟢Arthur Kaluma (Creighton, SF, Sophomore)
🟢Ousmane N’Diaye (Grupo Eleyco Baskonia, PF)

With this list complete I think it goes without saying that the Kings should strongly consider trading their pick to snag a veteran that will be an instant rotational piece or god forbid maybe even a starter.

and yes to all you best player available people out there. That’s a very fair argument. I’m not against that strategy.
what so ever. Especially with our exec of the year who has an excellent draft selection history.

Yakshi
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May 16, 2023 3:46 pm
Reply to  ArcoThunder

comment image

Last edited 10 months ago by Dan Houlder
macdoogs
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May 16, 2023 9:09 pm
Reply to  ArcoThunder

I’d love Bilal or Leonard Millercat 24. Bilal I feel like would take a little bit more time to develop but when he does, he’s gonna be a player. I’d also love to have both Murray twins on this team almost more than any other potential pick at 24.

If he’s still around the 2nd round pick, I’d totally take a flier on Bates and see what our coaching staff can do with him. Has made some questionable decisions but there is talent there. At worst, he’s a bench scorer in my opinion

Overall I have 0 clue what we end up doing but In Monte We Trust

macdoogs
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May 16, 2023 9:10 pm
Reply to  macdoogs

Miller at*, not Millercat. Not to be confused with Zillercat

Marty
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May 16, 2023 3:00 pm

My religious beliefs suggest the first ping pong ball needs to go to Sacramento….

https://news.yahoo.com/former-kings-tv-khtk-radio-212356735.html

Jman1949
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May 16, 2023 3:23 pm
Reply to  Marty

Remember how he refused to work Sunday games because of his deeply held beliefs!

Amonk81
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May 16, 2023 3:29 pm
Reply to  Marty

Ha. Grant is a real piece of shit, getting exactly what he deserves.

murraytant
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May 16, 2023 4:04 pm
Reply to  Marty

the guy is a tool.

Mike120
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May 16, 2023 3:17 pm

Is that what they mean by “clickbait”?

murraytant
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May 16, 2023 3:52 pm

Really? I thought the Kings had a permanent labelled seat.

I hope an East team wins or if it is the West- the SAS.
I used to watch with fear, trepidation and hope. Now I won’t watch out of fear that it is the Mavs.

TheGrantNapear
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May 16, 2023 5:26 pm

Fookin Spurs man.

RobHessing
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May 16, 2023 5:37 pm
Reply to  TheGrantNapear

Can’t be too mad at a fellow small market team winning the lottery.

TheGrantNapear
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May 16, 2023 5:45 pm
Reply to  RobHessing

Was hoping the pick would land in the East.
Got to feel for Piston fans dropping to 4.

Indolentdolt
May 16, 2023 5:28 pm

Robinson, Duncan, Wemby…Dang, this whole lottery thing sure has worked out for the Spurs.

Mike120
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May 16, 2023 5:30 pm
Reply to  Indolentdolt

Could’ve been Portland and in our division.

TheGrantNapear
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May 16, 2023 5:47 pm
Reply to  Mike120

Still a juicy pick for Portland to shop in a trade to go in on Dame one last time. Or you trade Dame and use this pick as a starting point for a rebuild.
At this point I think they should trade Dame and rebuild around this pick, Simons and Sharpe.

Adamsite
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May 16, 2023 5:51 pm
Reply to  Indolentdolt

Even crazier, the Spurs traded away a very good Jacob Poeltl to get the Raptors 2024 first round pick at the deadlin. They traded away their starting center only to land a generational center in the lottery. The stars aligned for them.

RAP87
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May 16, 2023 5:36 pm

Felt bad for Detroit for moving down to 5th.. Reminds me back in 09′ when we had the worst record and ended up picking 4th! Wembenyama to the Spurs is crazy! Pop ain’t retiring soon now that he has Wemby!

TheGrantNapear
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May 16, 2023 5:48 pm
Reply to  RAP87

Yeah I was hoping they would land the first pick. Such a downtrodden franchise.

RAP87
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May 16, 2023 6:10 pm
Reply to  TheGrantNapear

Was hoping Charlotte wins the lottery but I ain’t mad Spurs got the #1 pick.. Wembanyama deserves to go to a stable and classy franchise such as the Spurs..

macdoogs
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May 16, 2023 9:14 pm
Reply to  RAP87

Definitely the best possible outcome for that kid. Getting to learn from Gandolff will do wonders for his nba career out the gates. Would have preferred him out of the west though but I love that he goes to the spurs for him personally

Inthestarz
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May 16, 2023 6:16 pm

kings don’t need to be in the lottery to be screwed by it. After 20+ years of west dominance of course Wemby heads to this conference

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