A Sacramento Kings Fan Forum
How many top prospects does this draft have?
@besthyperboleever I'm with you on Johnson, Williams and Barnes. I think that Nix might sneak in there. Keyontae Johnson could crack the top ten if there is a genuine resolution to his health issue. Greg Brown out of Texas if he finishes the season with a flourish. There are also some SGs that I am not as high on that could see one or two inch up the charts (Moody, Bouknight, a couple of others).
@robhessing There are definitely interesting players in there. I don't really see them forcing that top tier to broaden to make room, but they'll make a strong 2nd and 3rd tier. Though it only takes one team to love a guy to throw it all off.
@adamsite Speaking of red flags, Brown from Texas has something like a 1:26 ast:to ratio.
@robhessing Heck of a line yesterday from Johnson. 24/15/7 with 2 steals and 4 blocks. He isn't consistent and has had some injuries, but when he's on he's a dynamo.
@besthyperboleever just now reading this thread. Wow, Jalen Johnson has talent. Haven't seen much of him but there's a lot to get excited about.
@besthyperboleever curious to know what you think of David Johnson, Louisville, as a possible top 10 pick.
@eddie41 Obviously it's really early in the process and there aren't a lot of real sources to see what the industry thinks of these guys beyond the top 7-10 or so, but I'm pretty surprised I'm not seeing him higher. I like him a lot. If I were forced to draw out a top 10 right now, he'd probably be in it. I like him more than most of the guys you currently see talked about in that range like Boston, Keon Johnson, Bouknight, Love, Christopher, etc.
But, again, it's really early in the process. Heck, we don't even see guys like James Preston and Kessler Edwards mentioned much and I fully expect them to end up 1st rounders. At this point (and I'm just saying this without really thinking it through), Suggs, Johnson and Preston are my top 3 Guards. For the record, I think of guys like Cade and Jalen Green as wings.
In the late-lottery range, getting more intrigued about Kispert. Dude's shot is so quick and fluid. Going to keep a closer eye out for his defensive presence.
Curious if folks are high on him?
@ajon_es Kispert is a great shooter by any measure. And elite shooters are obviously valuable. THAT SAID, take a look at the top 3-point specialists in the NBA and you'll find just as many 2nd rounders and UDFAs as lottery picks. In short, personally, I don't think a team like the Kings (or any team really, though a team that who's only really need is a 3-point specialist might be able to pull it off) should be spending a high pick on a specialist. It should also be pointed out that good 3 point shooters aren't as rare as they were. There are currently 30 players shooting over 40% on 5 or more 3s per game. Just 2 years ago there were 10. 3 years ago their were 12. Obviously, not all of those 30 will keep up their pace, but the fact is the high-level 3-pt shooting market is getting more and more saturated. Meaning, it should cost less and less. In short, no team should be paying too much for a 3pt specialist. Now, if that 3pt shooter also brings other high level skills, then sure, that's more valuable. But Kispert hasn't really shown too many of those other skills.
Top 5- Cade, Mobley, Green, Suggs and Kuminga
Next level: K. Johnson, Moody
Next: Bouknight, Wagner and Giddey
Some have: Mitchel ( Kings are covered at PG), Barnes ( can't shoot), J. Johnson ( attitude?) , K. Jones and I. Jackson or even Kispert but I think there are questions on all of them. Williams is far distant.
If Kings stay at 9 or even 10, I hope that Barnes is gone (6), I suspect that K. Johnson is gone(7), Mitchel and J. Johnson may be gone, leaving some choice of Moody, Wagner, Bouknight and Giddey. Kings won't do any worse than Giddey or Sengun, assuming that K. Johnson, Moody, Bouknight, and Wagner all go 6-9 and Kings get 10. Both are risks.
@ajon_es Let Kispert go to the duds at 14. They want shooters and want guys who can play right away. Good. Agree with BHE that a "pure shooter" only is not worth a lottery pick. At 9 or 10, Wagner a far better pick. Kispert was a good college player. I think he is like Wally Szerbiak. or even , heaven forbid, Morrison from the Zags.
There are so many guys with much better NBA potential.
@besthyperboleever David Johnson is good but not lottery good. Jalen Johnson has 10 dollar talent and a 10 cent head. Pouted at Duke and quit. and can't shoot from the perimeter. Barnes is better defender but he can't shoot either. Wagner and Giddey both better choices. Giddey not much of a defender, but sees court well, good passer and makes teammates better ( Hmmm reminds me of Haliburton) Wagner is active and a good team defender and can actually shoot the ball. Barnes is like Thybulle